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Greens Farms Academy Dragons (8-6)

Region: NE 2 FAA

State: CT

Coach: Pete Karlan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	at Hopkins School (13-1)	NE 2 FAA	93.2	1	L	3-	14		0.000
4/12	at Wooster (8-6)	NE 3 West	74.1		W	9-	3		0.025
4/14	RYE COUNTRY DAY (8-10)	NE 2 FAA	85.8	8	L	4-	10		-0.125
4/16	at Hamden Hall (5-10)	NE 2 FAA	78.0		W	11-	3		0.150
4/18	at Kingswood-Oxford (12-7)	NE 2 FAA	88.5	5	L	1-	11		-0.050
4/21	at Cheshire Academy (0-11)	NE 2 West	73.9		W	11-	4		0.125
4/23	FORMAN SCHOOL (6-6)	NE 3 West	75.3		W	14-	5		0.075
4/26	NEW YORK MIL ACADEMY (2-11)	NE 3 West	69.1		W	17-	8		0.000
4/30	at South Kent (9-6)	NE 2 West	82.1		L	8-	9		-0.225
5/02	WILLIAMS (10-4)	NE East-2	87.4		W	6-	5		0.375
5/06	at Masters Dobbs Ferry (2-11)	NY MLA	73.1		W	14-	4		0.050
5/12	at Chase Collegiate (13-5)	NE 3 West	78.4		W	10-	4		0.150
5/14	at St Luke's (10-7)	NE 2 FAA	87.0	7	L	3-	10		-0.075
5/16	at King-Low/Heywood Thos (11-8)	NE 2 FAA	84.0		L	7-	9		-0.175
			79.2						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	Hopkins School	3-	14	-11	-11		0.01	0.42
4/12	A	Wooster	9-	3	6	9	–	0.01	-3.50
4/14	H	Rye Country Day	4-	10	-6	-5		-0.01	-1.07
4/16	A	Hamden Hall	11-	3	8	4	++	0.01	4.25
4/18	A	Kingswood-Oxford	1-	11	-10	-8	–	0.01	-2.12
4/21	A	Cheshire Academy	11-	4	7	5	+	0.01	2.05
4/23	H	Forman School	14-	5	9	7	+	-0.01	2.17
4/26	H	New York Mil Academy	17-	8	9	13	––	-0.01	-4.08
4/30	A	South Kent	8-	9	-1	-1		0.01	-0.40
5/02	H	Williams	6-	5	1	-5	++	-0.18		5.90
5/06	A	Masters Dobbs Ferry	14-	4	10	8		0.90		1.72
5/12	A	Chase Collegiate	10-	4	6	4		0.01	1.53
5/14	A	St Luke's	3-	10	-7	-7		0.01	-0.12
5/16	A	King-Low/Heywood Thos	7-	9	-2	-3		0.01	0.87
									0.00	7.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	A	Hopkins School	3-	14	-0.42
4/18	A	Kingswood-Oxford	1-	11	0.00
5/06	A	Masters Dobbs Ferry	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1583
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.31		Natl Power Rank	1583
Natl SOS Rating	66.02		Natl SOS Rank	1879
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	845
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1058
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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