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Grafton Warriors (16-6)

Conference: CentMassRegion: MA 2State: MACoach: Wm Thornbrugh

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/03at Littleton (7-9)MA 283.7W9- 4 0.100  
4/08at Bromfield School (16-1)MA 290.65L8- 9 -0.200  
4/10at Nashoba Regional (11-8)MA 286.9L9-10ot-0.300  
4/14at Worcester Combined (0-16)MA 273.4W17- 1 0.000  
4/15HOLY NAME CATH CENT (0-12)MA 273.2W15- 1 0.000  
4/17NIPMUC REGIONAL (8-11)MA 283.8W12- 2 0.075  
4/24at Blackstone Valley V-T (12-9)MA 282.9W18- 3 0.125  
4/25WORCESTER COMBINED (0-16)MA 273.4W16- 3 0.000  
5/01at Northbridge (13-7)MA 288.78W12-11 0.250  
5/03at Wachusett (2-16)MA 282.3W14- 6 0.150  
5/05SHREWSBURY (19-4)MA 291.63L9-11 -0.175  
5/06LITTLETON (7-9)MA 283.7W13- 2 0.050  
5/08BROMFIELD SCHOOL (16-1)MA 290.65L4- 8 -0.275  
5/10NASHOBA REGIONAL (11-8)MA 286.9W13- 5 0.125  
5/12NORTHBRIDGE (13-7)MA 288.78W6- 4 0.200  
5/13at Holy Name Cath Cent (0-12)MA 273.2W13- 6 0.000  
5/15at Nipmuc Regional (8-11)MA 283.8W18- 8 0.125  
5/17MARLBOROUGH (3-14)MA 277.9W18- 0 0.000  
5/21at Marlborough (3-14)MA 277.9W17- 5 0.000  
5/22at Shrewsbury (19-4)MA 291.63L2-11 -0.125  
5/27BLACKSTONE VALLEY V-T (12-9)MA 282.9W17- 5 0.075  
5/31at St Johns Shrewsbury (13-7)MA 292.02L6-20 0.000  
 79.0     0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03ALittleton9-45   6       1.25       -0.62
4/08ABromfield School8-9-1   -2       1.25       0.82
4/10ANashoba Regional9-10-1   2       –1.25       -3.12
4/14AWorcester Combined17-116   14       +1.25       2.23
4/15HHoly Name Cath Cent15-114   16       –-1.25       -2.45
4/17HNipmuc Regional12-210   7       +-1.25       2.60
4/24ABlackstone Valley V-T18-315   5       +++1.17       9.98
4/25HWorcester Combined16-313   16       –-1.25       -3.27
5/01ANorthbridge12-111   0       1.25       1.30
5/03AWachusett14-68   4       +1.25       3.56
5/05HShrewsbury9-11-2   -3       -1.25       0.79
5/06HLittleton13-211   8       +-1.25       2.88
5/08HBromfield School4-8-4   1       ––-1.25       -4.67
5/10HNashoba Regional13-58   5       +-1.25       3.39
5/12HNorthbridge6-42   2       -1.25       -0.20
5/13AHoly Name Cath Cent13-67   14       –––1.25       -6.95
5/15ANipmuc Regional18-810   5       ++1.25       5.09
5/17HMarlborough18-018   13       ++-1.25       5.17
5/21AMarlborough17-512   10       1.25       1.67
5/22AShrewsbury2-11-9   -5       –1.25       -3.72
5/27HBlackstone Valley V-T17-512   7       ++-1.17       4.64
5/31ASt Johns Shrewsbury6-20-14   -10       ––1.25       -4.50
         0.0014.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/14AWorcester Combined17-1-2.23
4/15HHoly Name Cath Cent15-12.45
4/17HNipmuc Regional12-20.00
4/24ABlackstone Valley V-T18-3-5.00
4/25HWorcester Combined16-33.27
5/06HLittleton13-2-1.00
5/15ANipmuc Regional18-80.00
5/17HMarlborough18-0-5.17
5/21AMarlborough17-5-1.67
5/27HBlackstone Valley V-T17-5-2.00
5/31ASt Johns Shrewsbury6-204.00
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 89.   Natl CCR Rank 831
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 89.10   Natl Power Rank 831
Natl SOS Rating 65.59   Natl SOS Rank 1919
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1008
W-L Pct Rating 0.73   W-L Pct Rank 488
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 14-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.7



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