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Glenelg Country Dragons (5-12)

Region: MD B MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Tom Marachek

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	at Walsingham Academy (4-10)	VA 2 Privte	82.1		W	13-	12		0.350
3/15	at Cape Henry Collegiate (13-5)	VA 1 Tidewtr	90.8		L	2-	9		0.000
3/15	at Norfolk Collegiate (7-10)	VA 2 Tidewtr	78.7		L	8-	9		-0.225
3/16	at Williamsburg LC (10-4)	VA Indep	89.0		L	4-	16		0.000
3/25	JOHN CARROLL (12-3)	MD B MIAA	88.2	2	L	5-	14		-0.075
3/28	at Chapelgate Christian (10-7)	MD B MIAA	83.4	4	L	8-	12		-0.175
4/01	at Key School (4-11)	MD B MIAA	79.3	8	W	12-	11	ot	0.275
4/03	at Loch Raven (2-11)	MD 21 North	83.0		L	5-	7		-0.125
4/08	at Archbishop Curley (15-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9	1	L	2-	9		0.000
4/15	PARK SCHOOL (9-3)	MD B MIAA	84.9	3	L	9-	11		-0.225
4/18	at Sts Peter & Paul (1-13)	MD B MIAA	75.5	9	W	9-	8	ot	0.175
4/25	at John Carroll (12-3)	MD B MIAA	88.2	2	L	1-	15		0.000
4/29	ST VINCENT PALLOTTI (6-13)	MD B MIAA	80.2	6	L	8-	12		-0.300
4/30	KEY SCHOOL (4-11)	MD B MIAA	79.3	8	W	11-	10		0.200
5/05	at Annapolis Area Christn (7-10)	MD B MIAA	81.7	5	L	14-	15		-0.225
5/07	STS PETER & PAUL (1-13)	MD B MIAA	75.5	9	W	18-	7		0.125
5/13	at Chapelgate Christian (10-7)	MD B MIAA	83.4	4	L	14-	15		-0.175
			84.7						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	A	Walsingham Academy	13-	12	1	-4	++	1.89		5.37
3/15	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	2-	9	-7	-13	+++	2.06		6.28
3/15	A	Norfolk Collegiate	8-	9	-1	-1		1.89		-0.03
3/16	A	Williamsburg LC	4-	16	-12	-11		1.26		-1.32
3/25	H	John Carroll	5-	14	-9	-7		-1.40	-1.79
3/28	A	Chapelgate Christian	8-	12	-4	-3		1.40	-0.89
4/01	A	Key School	12-	11	1	-1		1.40	1.83
4/03	A	Loch Raven	5-	7	-2	-5	+	1.16		2.59
4/08	A	Archbishop Curley	2-	9	-7	-13	++	1.40	5.97
4/15	H	Park School	9-	11	-2	-1		-1.40	-0.73
4/18	A	Sts Peter & Paul	9-	8	1	3		1.40	-1.67
4/25	A	John Carroll	1-	15	-14	-10	––	1.40	-4.00
4/29	H	St Vincent Pallotti	8-	12	-4	2	––	-1.40	-5.71
4/30	H	Key School	11-	10	1	2		-1.40	-0.96
5/05	A	Annapolis Area Christn	14-	15	-1	-1		1.40	0.32
5/07	H	Sts Peter & Paul	18-	7	11	5	++	-1.40	5.54
5/13	A	Chapelgate Christian	14-	15	-1	-3	+	1.40	2.11
									0.00	12.90

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/16	A	Williamsburg LC	4-	16	1.32
4/25	A	John Carroll	1-	15	4.00
5/07	H	Sts Peter & Paul	18-	7	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1844
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.58		Natl Power Rank	1844
Natl SOS Rating	76.73		Natl SOS Rank	798
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	2187
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	2108
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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