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Gonzaga Purple Eagles (15-6)

Region: DC WCAC

State: DC

Coach: Casey O'Neill

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	ROCKHURST JESUIT (18-8)	MO Indep-1	96.4		W	14-	5		0.300
3/15	CANISIUS (10-10)	NY P Sec 6	90.4		W	12-	9		0.150
3/15	REGIS JESUIT (12-5)	CO Contl	94.6		W	7-	6	ot	0.225
3/16	BROPHY PREP (17-4)	AZ 1 North	93.8		W	10-	7		0.225
3/19	vs. Durham Jordan # (10-9)	NC 4A	87.0		W	12-	9		0.075
3/28	at Severna Park (16-3)	MD 43 East	96.2		L	7-	12		-0.150
3/29	vs. Annapolis # (9-7)	MD 32 East	93.4		W	10-	8		0.250
4/01	BULLIS (13-7)	DC IAC	91.7		W	4-	3		0.175
4/02	at Bishop McNamara (2-12)	DC WCAC	73.4		W	17-	0		0.000
4/04	ST MARYS RYKEN (11-7)	DC WCAC	93.4	4	L	6-	13		-0.225
4/11	at Our Lady-Good Counsel (16-5)	DC WCAC	94.2	2	W	8-	7	ot	0.300
4/15	DEMATHA (14-5)	DC WCAC	98.0	1	L	9-	17		-0.150
4/17	at Bishop O'Connell (7-13)	DC WCAC	85.4		W	14-	8		0.175
4/21	at Landon (18-4)	DC IAC	98.7		L	7-	12		-0.075
4/22	PAUL VI (12-9)	DC WCAC	89.0	8	W	9-	3		0.125
4/24	at Bishop Ireton (8-13)	DC WCAC	86.5		W	9-	8	ot	0.175
4/26	ST JOHNS DC (10-9)	DC WCAC	86.1		W	19-	9		0.075
4/29	ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (0-15)	DC WCAC	67.7		W	1-	0		0.000
5/02	at Georgetown Prep (18-3)	DC IAC	99.1		L	2-	16		-0.075
5/05	PAUL VI (12-9)	DC WCAC	89.0	8	W	9-	7		0.125
5/08	at DeMatha (14-5)	DC WCAC	98.0	1	L	8-	12		-0.075
# Neutral site			90.1						1.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	Rockhurst Jesuit	14-	5	9	-2	+++	-1.26		10.60
3/15	H	Canisius	12-	9	3	4		-1.31		-1.42
3/15	H	Regis Jesuit	7-	6	1	1		-1.70		0.32
3/16	H	Brophy Prep	10-	7	3	1	+	-0.95		2.24
3/19	N	Durham Jordan	12-	9	3	7	–	0.00		-3.56
3/28	A	Severna Park	7-	12	-5	-4		1.33		-0.99
3/29	N	Annapolis	10-	8	2	0		0.00		1.86
4/01	H	Bullis	4-	3	1	3	–	-1.59		-2.48
4/02	A	Bishop McNamara	17-	0	17	15	+	1.73	2.21
4/04	H	St Marys Ryken	6-	13	-7	-1	––	-1.73	-5.78
4/11	A	Our Lady-Good Counsel	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.73	2.86
4/15	H	DeMatha	9-	17	-8	-4	––	-1.73	-4.49
4/17	A	Bishop O'Connell	14-	8	6	3	+	1.73	3.05
4/21	A	Landon	7-	12	-5	-7		1.59		1.77
4/22	H	Paul VI	9-	3	6	5		-1.73	1.20
4/24	A	Bishop Ireton	9-	8	1	3	–	1.73	-2.40
4/26	H	St Johns DC	19-	9	10	7	+	-1.73	3.18
5/02	A	Georgetown Prep	2-	16	-14	-7	–––	1.59		-6.91
5/05	H	Paul VI	9-	7	2	5	–	-1.73	-2.80
5/08	A	DeMatha	8-	12	-4	-7	+	1.73	2.97
									0.00	1.44

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Bishop McNamara	17-	0	-2.21
4/26	H	St Johns DC	19-	9	0.00
5/02	A	Georgetown Prep	2-	16	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	368
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.56		Natl Power Rank	368
Natl SOS Rating	87.37		Natl SOS Rank	175
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	101
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	523
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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