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Our Lady-Good Counsel Falcons (16-5)

Region: DC WCACState: MDCoach: Matt Durkin

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/12at Landon (18-4)DC IAC98.7L3-14 -0.100  
3/14vs. Archbishop Wood # (17-7)PA Cathol96.3W11- 6 0.300  
3/18at Bishop McNamara (2-12)DC WCAC73.4W14- 2 0.000  
3/25vs. Monarch # (9-7)CO Foothil86.9W15- 5 0.075  
3/26vs. Boulder # (8-9)CO Centenn86.0W11- 5 0.050  
3/27vs. Chatfield # (12-4)CO Foothil89.7W14- 4 0.150  
3/29vs. Westminster # (11-5)MD 43 North95.0W11- 8 0.275  
3/29at Wootton (16-2)MD 43 West95.9W10- 9 0.325  
4/01GEORGETOWN PREP (18-3)DC IAC99.1L2-12 -0.175  
4/02at Archbishop Carroll (0-15)DC WCAC67.7W1- 0 0.000  
4/04at St Johns DC (10-9)DC WCAC86.1W16- 4 0.175  
4/08ST VINCENT PALLOTTI (6-13)MD B MIAA80.2W12- 4 0.000  
4/11GONZAGA (15-6)DC WCAC93.63L7- 8ot-0.300  
4/15ST MARYS RYKEN (11-7)DC WCAC93.44W11- 9 0.275  
4/19vs. DeMatha # (14-5)DC WCAC98.01L6-14 -0.125  
4/22BISHOP O'CONNELL (7-13)DC WCAC85.4W12- 5 0.075  
4/25at Paul VI (12-9)DC WCAC89.08W12- 7 0.225  
4/29BISHOP IRETON (8-13)DC WCAC86.5W8- 4 0.075  
5/05BISHOP O'CONNELL (7-13)DC WCAC85.4W13- 8 0.075  
5/08at St Marys Ryken (11-7)DC WCAC93.44W10- 7 0.375  
5/13vs. DeMatha # (14-5)DC WCAC98.01L3-18 -0.125  
# Neutral site 88.7     1.63  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/12ALandon3-14-11   -6       ––1.59       -4.87
3/14NArchbishop Wood11-65   -2       +++0.00       7.09
3/18ABishop McNamara14-212   15       –1.73       -2.92
3/25NMonarch15-510   7       +0.00       2.73
3/26NBoulder11-56   8       –0.00       -2.17
3/27NChatfield14-410   4       ++0.00       5.52
3/29NWestminster11-83   -1       +0.00       3.77
3/29AWootton10-91   -3       ++1.33       4.00
4/01HGeorgetown Prep2-12-10   -3       –––-1.59       -6.74
4/04ASt Johns DC16-412   3       +++1.73       8.51
4/08HSt Vincent Pallotti12-48   16       –––-1.56       -7.57
4/11HGonzaga7-8-1   2       –-1.73       -2.86
4/15HSt Marys Ryken11-92   -1       +-1.73       3.08
4/19NDeMatha6-14-8   -5       –0.00       -2.90
4/22HBishop O'Connell12-57   7       -1.73       0.46
4/25APaul VI12-75   1       +1.73       3.53
4/29HBishop Ireton8-44   7       –-1.73       -2.99
5/05HBishop O'Connell13-85   7       -1.73       -1.54
5/08ASt Marys Ryken10-73   -5       +++1.73       7.54
5/13NDeMatha3-18-15   -5       –––0.00       -9.90
         0.001.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/12ALandon3-141.00
3/18ABishop McNamara14-22.92
3/25NMonarch15-50.00
3/27NChatfield14-40.00
4/01HGeorgetown Prep2-120.00
4/04ASt Johns DC16-4-2.00
5/13NDeMatha3-185.00
10-goal correction: 0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 94.   Natl CCR Rank 304
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.20   Natl Power Rank 304
Natl SOS Rating 84.79   Natl SOS Rank 253
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.63   Natl Quality Win Rank 85
W-L Pct Rating 0.76   W-L Pct Rank 381
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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