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Grand Island Vikings (6-11)

Region: NY B Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Steve Steck

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	vs. Lockport # (7-12)	NY A Sec 6	84.3		W	6-	5		0.225
4/08	at Canisius (10-10)	NY P Sec 6	90.5		L	7-	12		-0.125
4/10	at Nichols (0-15)	NY P Sec 6	80.4		W	6-	1		0.150
4/23	at Amherst (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	96.2	5	L	4-	15		0.000
4/25	WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH (5-13)	NY B Sec 6	83.5		W	10-	3		0.175
4/29	WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (12-6)	NY B Sec 6	92.6	9	L	2-	11		-0.175
5/01	NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (15-6)	NY A Sec 6	96.7	3	L	3-	16		0.000
5/03	ST JOSEPH COLLEGIATE (5-13)	NY P Sec 6	84.5		L	3-	4		-0.275
5/05	LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (1-16)	NY B Sec 6	76.6		W	17-	5		0.000
5/07	at Sweet Home (10-9)	NY B Sec 6	90.1		W	8-	6		0.325
5/09	at Iroquois (9-9)	NY B Sec 6	89.5		L	8-	13		-0.150
5/12	WEST SENECA EAST (12-9)	NY B Sec 6	92.7	8	L	5-	15		-0.150
5/14	at Gowanda (11-9)	NY C Sec 6	83.8		W	19-	8		0.150
5/16	at Hamburg (21-2)	NY B Sec 6	98.6	2	L	3-	17		0.000
5/20	at Timon St Jude (14-4)	NY P Sec 6	96.4	4	L	1-	9		-0.050
5/22	at St Francis (8-10)	NY P Sec 6	88.8		L	8-	9		-0.175
5/30	at Amherst (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	96.2	5	L	6-	16		0.000
# Neutral site			87.2						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	N	Lockport	6-	5	1	1		0.00	-0.39
4/08	A	Canisius	7-	12	-5	-5		0.89	-0.36
4/10	A	Nichols	6-	1	5	4		0.89	0.85
4/23	A	Amherst	4-	15	-11	-10		0.89	-1.35
4/25	H	Williamsville South	10-	3	7	3	+	-0.89	3.87
4/29	H	Williamsville East	2-	11	-9	-3	––	-0.89	-5.76
5/01	H	Niagara Wheatfield	3-	16	-13	-10	–	-0.89	-3.31
5/03	H	St Joseph Collegiate	3-	4	-1	1		-0.89	-1.85
5/05	H	Lake Shore Central	17-	5	12	11		-0.89	0.85
5/07	A	Sweet Home	8-	6	2	-3	++	0.89	5.34
5/09	A	Iroquois	8-	13	-5	-4		0.89	-1.10
5/12	H	West Seneca East	5-	15	-10	-4	–––	-0.89	-6.17
5/14	A	Gowanda	19-	8	11	4	+++	0.89	7.35
5/16	A	Hamburg	3-	17	-14	-14		0.89	0.28
5/20	A	Timon St Jude	1-	9	-8	-8		0.89	-0.27
5/22	A	St Francis	8-	9	-1	-3	+	0.89	2.36
5/30	A	Amherst	6-	16	-10	-10		0.89	-0.35
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Amherst	4-	15	1.00
5/01	H	Niagara Wheatfield	3-	16	3.00
5/05	H	Lake Shore Central	17-	5	-0.85
5/12	H	West Seneca East	5-	15	0.00
5/14	A	Gowanda	19-	8	-1.00
5/16	A	Hamburg	3-	17	-0.28
5/30	A	Amherst	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1226
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.41		Natl Power Rank	1226
Natl SOS Rating	80.80		Natl SOS Rank	476
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1600
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1945
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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