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Grand Blanc Bobcats (4-12)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Chris Fechter

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	SWARTZ CREEK (6-11)	MI 2	76.0		W	5-	2		0.100
4/08	BLOOMFIELD HILLS (8-12)	MI 1	85.9		L	5-	11		-0.100
4/10	at South Lyon (14-3)	MI 1	89.7		L	3-	16		0.000
4/15	at Brighton (11-6)	MI 1	88.5		L	3-	12		0.000
4/22	MIDLAND (7-9)	MI 4 Club	81.8		L	4-	6		-0.225
4/24	at Rochester Stoney Creek (2-13)	MI 1	78.9		L	7-	12		-0.225
4/26	at OL St Mary's (9-9)	MI 2	90.0		L	1-	15		0.000
4/28	at Rochester Adams (11-9)	MI 2	86.4		L	4-	16		-0.050
5/01	at Flint Powers (14-6)	MI 2	91.1		L	1-	18		0.000
5/05	at Lapeer West (7-3)	MI 2	80.9		W	9-	5		0.250
5/06	at Swartz Creek (6-11)	MI 2	76.0		W	8-	3		0.175
5/08	at Bay City Central (5-7)	MI 2	80.8		L	12-	13		-0.225
5/13	HURON VALLEY-LAKELAND (5-10)	MI 1	81.6		L	7-	12		-0.175
5/14	at Davison (10-6)	MI 2	85.2		L	7-	11		-0.100
5/15	WALLED LAKE CENTRAL (2-14)	MI 1	74.8		W	13-	3		0.075
5/21	at Univ Detroit Jesuit (13-9)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	2-	21		0.000
			74.9						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Swartz Creek	5-	2	3	6	–	-1.42	-2.79
4/08	H	Bloomfield Hills	5-	11	-6	-6		-1.42	0.02
4/10	A	South Lyon	3-	16	-13	-11		1.42	-1.89
4/15	A	Brighton	3-	12	-9	-10		1.42	0.69
4/22	H	Midland	4-	6	-2	-1		-0.92		-0.92
4/24	A	Rochester Stoney Creek	7-	12	-5	-1	––	1.42	-4.25
4/26	A	OL St Mary's	1-	15	-14	-14		1.42	0.45
4/28	A	Rochester Adams	4-	16	-12	-8	–	1.42	-3.54
5/01	A	Flint Powers	1-	18	-17	-15	–	1.42	-2.44
5/05	A	Lapeer West	9-	5	4	0	+	1.42	3.54
5/06	A	Swartz Creek	8-	3	5	3	+	1.42	2.05
5/08	A	Bay City Central	12-	13	-1	-1		1.42	0.46
5/13	H	Huron Valley-Lakeland	7-	12	-5	-3		-1.42	-1.82
5/14	A	Davison	7-	11	-4	-6	+	1.42	2.15
5/15	H	Walled Lake Central	13-	3	10	7	+	-1.42	3.12
5/21	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	2-	21	-19	-23	++	1.42	4.25
									0.00	-0.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	South Lyon	3-	16	1.89
4/26	A	OL St Mary's	1-	15	-0.45
4/28	A	Rochester Adams	4-	16	2.00
5/01	A	Flint Powers	1-	18	2.44
5/15	H	Walled Lake Central	13-	3	0.00
5/21	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	2-	21	-4.25
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1857
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.79		Natl Power Rank	1857
Natl SOS Rating	58.79		Natl SOS Rank	2460
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2312
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	2231
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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