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Green Hope Falcons (9-7)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Dan Swain

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/26	SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (0-13)	NC 4A	67.1		W	22-	3		0.000
2/29	at Wakefield (15-4)	NC 4A	88.2	7	L	12-	16		-0.175
3/06	at East Chapel Hill (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	L	4-	17		-0.100
3/11	at W.G. Enloe (5-13)	NC 4A	74.6		W	17-	6		0.075
3/14	MILLBROOK (1-10)	NC Indep	67.2		W	14-	3		0.000
3/18	at Athens Drive (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		W	14-	3		0.125
3/20	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	12-	13		-0.275
3/27	at Cary-Middle Creek (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		W	15-	14		0.250
4/09	at Northern Durham (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		W	17-	4		0.050
4/11	APEX (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	7-	15		-0.150
4/16	at Panther Creek (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	17-	3		0.050
4/18	ATHENS DRIVE (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		L	0-	1		-0.450
4/22	at Cary HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	11-	17		-0.225
4/25	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		W	12-	11	ot	0.175
4/29	PANTHER CREEK (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	15-	4		0.000
5/01	at Apex (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	6-	11		-0.075
			82.9						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/26	H	SouthEast Raleigh	22-	3	19	16	+	-1.35	3.00
2/29	A	Wakefield	12-	16	-4	-3		1.35	-0.56
3/06	A	East Chapel Hill	4-	17	-13	-6	–––	1.35	-7.43
3/11	A	W.G. Enloe	17-	6	11	7	++	1.35	4.13
3/14	H	Millbrook	14-	3	11	15	––	-1.35	-4.38
3/18	A	Athens Drive	14-	3	11	5	++	1.35	5.53
3/20	H	Cary HS	12-	13	-1	1	–	-1.35	-2.27
3/27	A	Cary-Middle Creek	15-	14	1	0		1.35	0.54
4/09	A	Northern Durham	17-	4	13	8	++	1.35	4.84
4/11	H	Apex	7-	15	-8	-4	––	-1.35	-4.16
4/16	A	Panther Creek	17-	3	14	8	++	1.35	5.82
4/22	A	Cary HS	11-	17	-6	-1	––	1.35	-4.58
4/25	H	Cary-Middle Creek	12-	11	1	3	–	-1.35	-2.15
4/29	H	Panther Creek	15-	4	11	11		-1.35	0.13
5/01	A	Apex	6-	11	-5	-7		1.35	1.53
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/26	H	SouthEast Raleigh	22-	3	-3.00
3/06	A	East Chapel Hill	4-	17	3.00
3/11	A	W.G. Enloe	17-	6	-1.00
3/14	H	Millbrook	14-	3	4.38
3/18	A	Athens Drive	14-	3	-1.00
4/09	A	Northern Durham	17-	4	-3.00
4/16	A	Panther Creek	17-	3	-4.00
4/29	H	Panther Creek	15-	4	-0.13
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1387
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.10		Natl Power Rank	1387
Natl SOS Rating	73.02		Natl SOS Rank	1152
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	2598
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1102
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3

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