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Granville Blue Aces (14-4)

Region: OH 2 Reg 3

State: OH

Coach: Kurt Hansen

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	ST FRANCIS DE SALES (12-6)	OH 2 Reg 1	87.0	8	W	13-	12		0.175
4/10	WESTERVILLE NORTH (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.4		L	7-	14		-0.250
4/15	at Watterson (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 3	81.9		W	11-	4		0.150
4/17	JOHNSTOWN (5-11)	OH 2 Reg 3	78.4		W	14-	2		0.000
4/19	GILMOUR ACADEMY (9-10)	OH 2 Reg 1	85.1		W	14-	5		0.125
4/21	GAHANNA-LINCOLN (9-10)	OH 2 Reg 3	83.0		W	15-	3		0.000
4/24	COLUMBUS DE SALES (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 3	84.2		W	11-	10	ot	0.075
4/26	at Cincinnati Cou Day (9-8)	OH 2 Reg 4	85.6		L	5-	6		-0.300
4/30	at New Albany (8-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	85.7		W	5-	4		0.250
5/05	at Wellington School (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 3	84.5		W	9-	6		0.175
5/07	WESTERVILLE SOUTH (7-10)	OH 1 Reg 2	89.6		W	10-	9		0.250
5/10	at Mariemont (13-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.6	2	L	5-	12		-0.125
5/15	at Bexley (1-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	76.5		W	14-	1		0.000
5/17	SUMMIT COUNTRY DAY (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 4	81.9		W	16-	5		0.100
5/27	BEXLEY (1-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	76.5		W	17-	3		0.000
5/29	COLUMBUS DE SALES (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 3	84.2		W	11-	7		0.075
5/31	WATTERSON (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 3	81.9		W	14-	4		0.050
6/05	at Loveland (19-5)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.1	4	L	11-	12		-0.125
			81.6						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	St Francis de Sales	13-	12	1	3	–	-1.74	-2.50
4/10	H	Westerville North	7-	14	-7	0	–––	-1.51		-6.59
4/15	A	Watterson	11-	4	7	4	+	1.74	2.90
4/17	H	Johnstown	14-	2	12	15	–	-1.74	-3.05
4/19	H	Gilmour Academy	14-	5	9	5	++	-1.74	4.08
4/21	H	Gahanna-Lincoln	15-	3	12	10		-1.74	1.98
4/24	H	Columbus De Sales	11-	10	1	7	––	-1.74	-5.55
4/26	A	Cincinnati Cou Day	5-	6	-1	2	–	1.74	-2.80
4/30	A	New Albany	5-	4	1	0		1.74	0.92
5/05	A	Wellington School	9-	6	3	3		1.74	-0.26
5/07	H	Westerville South	10-	9	1	0		-1.51		0.62
5/10	A	Mariemont	5-	12	-7	-5		1.74	-1.77
5/15	A	Bexley	14-	1	13	13		1.74	0.00
5/17	H	Summit Country Day	16-	5	11	6	++	-1.74	4.92
5/27	H	Bexley	17-	3	14	16	–	-1.74	-2.49
5/29	H	Columbus De Sales	11-	7	4	7	–	-1.74	-2.55
5/31	H	Watterson	14-	4	10	8	+	-1.74	2.41
6/05	A	Loveland	11-	12	-1	-5	+	1.74	3.74
									0.00	-5.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Johnstown	14-	2	3.05
4/21	H	Gahanna-Lincoln	15-	3	-1.98
5/15	A	Bexley	14-	1	0.00
5/17	H	Summit Country Day	16-	5	-1.00
5/27	H	Bexley	17-	3	2.48
5/31	H	Watterson	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	873
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.47		Natl Power Rank	873
Natl SOS Rating	70.10		Natl SOS Rank	1461
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	534
W-L Pct Rating	0.78		W-L Pct Rank	334
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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