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Guilderland Dutchmen (17-3)

Region: NY A Sec 2

State: NY

Coach: Sean McConaghy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	COLONIE (15-5)	NY A Sec 2	92.8	4	W	10-	9		0.150
4/10	at Shenendehowa (13-7)	NY A Sec 2	93.4	3	W	9-	4		0.250
4/12	at Lakeland/Panas (14-7)	NY A Sec 1	97.5		W	8-	7	ot	0.325
4/14	SARATOGA SPGS (7-12)	NY A Sec 2	87.9	9	W	10-	5		0.125
4/16	at Ballston Spa (11-8)	NY A Sec 2	90.6	6	W	12-	6		0.200
4/18	at Shaker (6-15)	NY A Sec 2	87.0	10	W	7-	4		0.175
4/22	at Niskayuna (21-1)	NY A Sec 2	98.9	1	L	4-	5		-0.175
4/24	COLUMBIA (11-9)	NY A Sec 2	88.1	8	W	14-	10		0.125
4/25	at Bethlehem (2-17)	NY A Sec 2	80.2		W	12-	4		0.075
5/01	SHENENDEHOWA (13-7)	NY A Sec 2	93.4	3	W	7-	5		0.200
5/06	at Burnt Hills (4-17)	NY B Sec 2	77.1		W	15-	0		0.000
5/08	BETHLEHEM (2-17)	NY A Sec 2	80.2		W	20-	7		0.025
5/10	at Albany Academy (4-12)	NY A Sec 2	78.7		W	16-	1		0.000
5/13	at Saratoga Spgs (7-12)	NY A Sec 2	87.9	9	W	9-	6		0.175
5/15	SHAKER (6-15)	NY A Sec 2	87.0	10	W	6-	4		0.125
5/17	BALLSTON SPA (11-8)	NY A Sec 2	90.6	6	W	9-	6		0.150
5/20	NISKAYUNA (21-1)	NY A Sec 2	98.9	1	L	3-	6		-0.225
5/22	vs. Canton Central # (11-7)	NY C Sec 10	87.4		W	9-	8		0.050
5/27	TROY (3-15)	NY A Sec 2	73.3		W	19-	4		0.000
5/30	SHAKER (6-15)	NY A Sec 2	87.0	10	L	6-	7	ot	-0.375
# Neutral site			91.6						1.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	Colonie	10-	9	1	4	–	-0.97	-2.73
4/10	A	Shenendehowa	9-	4	5	0	++	0.97	5.27
4/12	A	Lakeland/Panas	8-	7	1	-3	+	1.03		3.80
4/14	H	Saratoga Spgs	10-	5	5	5		-0.97	0.16
4/16	A	Ballston Spa	12-	6	6	2	++	0.97	4.36
4/18	A	Shaker	7-	4	3	3		0.97	0.38
4/22	A	Niskayuna	4-	5	-1	-3		0.97	1.87
4/24	H	Columbia	14-	10	4	5		-0.97	-1.35
4/25	A	Bethlehem	12-	4	8	7		0.97	0.79
5/01	H	Shenendehowa	7-	5	2	2		-0.97	0.33
5/06	A	Burnt Hills	15-	0	15	14		0.97	0.51
5/08	H	Bethlehem	20-	7	13	9	+	-0.97	3.85
5/10	A	Albany Academy	16-	1	15	12	+	0.97	2.94
5/13	A	Saratoga Spgs	9-	6	3	3		0.97	0.10
5/15	H	Shaker	6-	4	2	5	–	-0.97	-2.56
5/17	H	Ballston Spa	9-	6	3	4		-0.97	-0.58
5/20	H	Niskayuna	3-	6	-3	-1	–	-0.97	-2.07
5/22	N	Canton Central	9-	8	1	8	–––	0.00		-7.29
5/27	H	Troy	19-	4	15	21	––	-0.97	-5.74
5/30	H	Shaker	6-	7	-1	5	––	-0.97	-5.56
									0.00	-3.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/06	A	Burnt Hills	15-	0	-0.51
5/08	H	Bethlehem	20-	7	-3.00
5/10	A	Albany Academy	16-	1	-2.94
5/27	H	Troy	19-	4	5.74
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	194
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.70		Natl Power Rank	194
Natl SOS Rating	90.53		Natl SOS Rank	94
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	125
W-L Pct Rating	0.85		W-L Pct Rank	152
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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