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Harrisburg Academy Spartans (1-14)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Van O'Banion

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	CARLISLE (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	L	1-	10		0.000
4/03	CHAMBERSBURG (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.2	10	L	6-	20		0.000
4/05	LEWISBURG (10-8)	PA CSNLL	79.3		L	6-	10		-0.225
4/07	HERSHEY (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		L	6-	18		-0.025
4/08	at Lampeter-Strasburg (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	L	1-	16		0.000
4/10	at Central Dauphin (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		L	7-	14		-0.100
4/15	at Lower Dauphin (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		L	4-	7		-0.100
4/17	at Palmyra (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		L	4-	16		-0.075
4/21	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	15-	5		0.150
4/25	at Lancaster Cou Day (12-3)	PA LL04	87.1		L	5-	16		0.000
4/30	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	L	8-	21		0.000
5/01	LANCASTER COU DAY (12-3)	PA LL04	87.1		L	3-	10		0.000
5/03	at Northern York Black (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		L	5-	16		0.000
5/06	ELIZABETHTOWN (3-11)	PA LL04	79.1		L	7-	11		-0.150
5/08	BISHOP MCDEVITT (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		L	11-	16		-0.175
			84.3						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Carlisle	1-	10	-9	-12	+	-0.28	3.44
4/03	H	Chambersburg	6-	20	-14	-11	–	-0.28	-2.72
4/05	H	Lewisburg	6-	10	-4	-1	–	-0.28	-3.22
4/07	H	Hershey	6-	18	-12	-9	–	-0.28	-3.34
4/08	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	1-	16	-15	-16		0.28	0.93
4/10	A	Central Dauphin	7-	14	-7	-6		0.28	-0.62
4/15	A	Lower Dauphin	4-	7	-3	-6	+	0.28	2.62
4/17	A	Palmyra	4-	16	-12	-7	––	0.28	-4.69
4/21	H	Central Dauphin East	15-	5	10	4	++	-0.28	5.91
4/25	A	Lancaster Cou Day	5-	16	-11	-11		0.28	-0.46
4/30	H	Cumberland Valley	8-	21	-13	-16	+	-0.28	2.68
5/01	H	Lancaster Cou Day	3-	10	-7	-10	+	-0.28	2.98
5/03	A	Northern York Black	5-	16	-11	-10		0.28	-1.46
5/06	H	Elizabethtown	7-	11	-4	-4		-0.28	-0.01
5/08	H	Bishop McDevitt	11-	16	-5	-3	–	-0.28	-2.04
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Chambersburg	6-	20	2.72
4/07	H	Hershey	6-	18	2.00
4/08	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	1-	16	-0.93
4/17	A	Palmyra	4-	16	2.00
4/21	H	Central Dauphin East	15-	5	0.00
4/25	A	Lancaster Cou Day	5-	16	0.46
4/30	H	Cumberland Valley	8-	21	-2.68
5/03	A	Northern York Black	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2264
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.94		Natl Power Rank	2264
Natl SOS Rating	75.27		Natl SOS Rank	937
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2570
W-L Pct Rating	0.07		W-L Pct Rank	2680
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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