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Hagerty Huskies (5-9)

Region: FL 5B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Mark Ayad

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	DR. PHILLIPS (4-11)	FL 7B Centrl	76.5		W	7-	5		0.175
2/08	at Matanzas (12-4)	FL 4B Centrl	92.0	6	L	1-	11		0.000
2/13	SEMINOLE (1-10)	FL 4B Centrl	74.0		W	8-	4		0.125
2/15	WEST ORANGE (10-8)	FL 6B Centrl	82.0		W	7-	3		0.275
2/20	at Lake Howell (6-8)	FL 5B Centrl	80.6		L	6-	9		-0.150
2/22	HOLY TRINITY EPISCOPAL (0-12)	FL Dist-9	44.4		W	14-	5		0.000
2/27	LAKE BRANTLEY (17-3)	FL 5B Centrl	95.9	1	L	0-	16		0.000
3/05	OVIEDO (8-8)	FL 5B Centrl	87.4		L	5-	17		-0.125
3/15	at Lyman (5-9)	FL 5B Centrl	82.1		L	4-	14		-0.100
3/17	OCOEE (12-5)	FL 6B Centrl	87.5		L	8-	11		-0.150
3/19	at Winter Springs (14-4)	FL 4B Centrl	93.2	4	L	1-	20		0.000
3/20	at Lake Mary (9-7)	FL 4B Centrl	89.0	9	L	9-	18		0.000
3/26	BARTRAM TRAIL (12-6)	FL 3B Centrl	84.3		L	7-	9		-0.225
3/28	FLAGLER PALM COAST (2-13)	FL 4B Centrl	76.9		W	9-	8		0.225
			79.9						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	H	Dr. Phillips	7-	5	2	3		-1.48	-0.54
2/08	A	Matanzas	1-	11	-10	-14	+	1.48	3.69
2/13	H	Seminole	8-	4	4	5		-1.48	-0.69
2/15	H	West Orange	7-	3	4	-1	++	-1.48	4.65
2/20	A	Lake Howell	6-	9	-3	-4		1.48	1.35
2/22	H	Holy Trinity Episcopal	14-	5	9	34	–––	-1.15		25.26
2/27	H	Lake Brantley	0-	16	-16	-19	+	-1.48	3.31
3/05	H	Oviedo	5-	17	-12	-5	–––	-1.48	-7.26
3/15	A	Lyman	4-	14	-10	-6	––	1.48	-4.26
3/17	H	Ocoee	8-	11	-3	-4		-1.48	1.31
3/19	A	Winter Springs	1-	20	-19	-17	–	1.48	-2.14
3/20	A	Lake Mary	9-	18	-9	-11		1.48	1.67
3/26	H	Bartram Trail	7-	9	-2	-1		-1.48	-1.08
3/28	H	Flagler Palm Coast	9-	8	1	1		-1.48	-0.01
									0.00	-25.26

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/08	A	Matanzas	1-	11	-3.69
2/27	H	Lake Brantley	0-	16	-3.31
3/05	H	Oviedo	5-	17	2.00
3/15	A	Lyman	4-	14	0.00
3/19	A	Winter Springs	1-	20	2.14
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2071
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.47		Natl Power Rank	2071
Natl SOS Rating	67.47		Natl SOS Rank	1726
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1255
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1912
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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