| Region: MD 32 South | State: MD | Coach: Erik Burnett |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | vs. Great Mills # (2-13) | MD 43 East | 75.0 | | W | 21- | 4 | | 0.075 |
3/22 | vs. Eastern Tech # (13-5) | MD 21 North | 93.7 | | L | 3- | 9 | | -0.050 |
3/25 | BEL AIR (6-6) | MD 32 North | 91.6 | | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.075 |
3/28 | at Fallston (12-4) | MD 32 North | 95.1 | | L | 3- | 15 | | 0.000 |
4/01 | MARRIOTT'S RIDGE (12-5) | MD 21 West | 94.1 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.025 |
4/08 | MOUNT HEBRON (5-9) | MD 32 South | 86.5 | | L | 3- | 6 | | -0.175 |
4/09 | at Reservoir (12-5) | MD 32 South | 91.7 | | L | 0- | 14 | | -0.050 |
4/11 | RIVER HILL (7-7) | MD 32 South | 91.3 | | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.075 |
4/16 | OAKLAND MILLS (1-12) | MD 21 West | 74.8 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/18 | at Howard (9-8) | MD 32 South | 88.5 | | L | 2- | 16 | | -0.075 |
4/22 | at Centennial (13-6) | MD 32 South | 94.3 | | L | 5- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | LONG REACH (2-13) | MD 32 South | 76.2 | | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.100 |
4/29 | GLENELG HS (18-0) | MD 21 West | 96.9 | 4 | L | 2- | 11 | | 0.000 |
5/02 | ATHOLTON (6-7) | MD 32 South | 89.7 | | L | 3- | 11 | | -0.100 |
5/08 | at Howard (9-8) | MD 32 South | 88.5 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.2 | | | | | | -0.47 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | N | Great Mills | 21- | 4 | 17 | 7 | +++ | 0.00 | 9.86 | |
3/22 | N | Eastern Tech | 3- | 9 | -6 | -8 | + | 0.00 | 2.44 | |
3/25 | H | Bel Air | 3- | 10 | -7 | -7 | | -0.93 | -0.07 | |
3/28 | A | Fallston | 3- | 15 | -12 | -13 | | 0.93 | 1.42 | |
4/01 | H | Marriott's Ridge | 4- | 9 | -5 | -9 | + | -0.93 | 3.54 | |
4/08 | H | Mount Hebron | 3- | 6 | -3 | -3 | | -0.93 | -0.40 | |
4/09 | A | Reservoir | 0- | 14 | -14 | -8 | ––– | 0.93 | -6.10 | |
4/11 | H | River Hill | 8- | 15 | -7 | -7 | | -0.93 | 0.01 | |
4/16 | H | Oakland Mills | 12- | 6 | 6 | 8 | – | -0.93 | -2.18 | |
4/18 | A | Howard | 2- | 16 | -14 | -7 | ––– | 0.93 | -6.68 | |
4/22 | A | Centennial | 5- | 16 | -11 | -12 | | 0.93 | 0.53 | |
4/25 | H | Long Reach | 5- | 3 | 2 | 6 | –– | -0.93 | -4.32 | |
4/29 | H | Glenelg HS | 2- | 11 | -9 | -12 | + | -0.93 | 3.32 | |
5/02 | H | Atholton | 3- | 11 | -8 | -6 | | -0.93 | -1.66 | |
5/08 | A | Howard | 5- | 12 | -7 | -7 | | 0.93 | 0.32 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/22 | N | Great Mills | 21- | 4 | -7.00 |
3/28 | A | Fallston | 3- | 15 | -1.42 |
4/09 | A | Reservoir | 0- | 14 | 4.00 |
4/18 | A | Howard | 2- | 16 | 4.00 |
4/22 | A | Centennial | 5- | 16 | -0.53 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.06 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1656 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 81.71 | | Natl Power Rank | 1656 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.04 | | Natl SOS Rank | 959 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.47 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2294 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.20 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2361 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 3-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -8.0 |
|
