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Hampton Roads Academy Navigators (2-11)

Region: VA 2 Tidewtr

State: VA

Coach: Mark Schindler

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/18	NORFOLK COLLEGIATE (7-10)	VA 2 Tidewtr	78.8	8	L	4-	9		-0.150
3/20	WOODBRIDGE (7-8)	VA Card	79.0		L	4-	5		-0.125
3/22	CHASE COLLEGIATE (13-5)	NE 3 West	78.4		W	9-	4		0.375
3/28	at Norfolk Collegiate (7-10)	VA 2 Tidewtr	78.8	8	L	6-	13		-0.050
4/01	at Bishop Sullivan (15-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	86.8	4	L	4-	16		0.000
4/03	NANSEMOND-SUFFOLK ACAD (9-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	85.7	5	L	3-	16		-0.050
4/05	TRINITY EPISCOPAL (3-11)	VA 3 Indep	70.7		W	9-	5		0.175
4/15	BISHOP SULLIVAN (15-7)	VA 2 Tidewtr	86.8	4	L	4-	11		-0.050
4/17	CHRISTCHURCH (5-10)	VA 2 VIC	78.6	9	L	8-	9		-0.175
4/24	NORFOLK ACADEMY (21-2)	VA 1 Tidewtr	98.2		L	4-	20		0.000
4/29	CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (13-5)	VA 1 Tidewtr	90.6		L	4-	16		0.000
5/01	WALSINGHAM ACADEMY (4-10)	VA 2 Privte	81.9	7	L	4-	10		-0.050
5/06	at Cape Henry Collegiate (13-5)	VA 1 Tidewtr	90.6		L	4-	14		0.000
			84.6						-0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	H	Norfolk Collegiate	4-	9	-5	-4		-2.39	-1.32
3/20	H	Woodbridge	4-	5	-1	-5	++	-2.11		4.03
3/22	H	Chase Collegiate	9-	4	5	-5	+++	-1.20		10.27
3/28	A	Norfolk Collegiate	6-	13	-7	-8		2.39	1.45
4/01	A	Bishop Sullivan	4-	16	-12	-12		2.39	0.34
4/03	H	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	3-	16	-13	-8	––	-2.39	-4.83
4/05	H	Trinity Episcopal	9-	5	4	3		-1.95		0.83
4/15	H	Bishop Sullivan	4-	11	-7	-8		-2.39	0.56
4/17	H	Christchurch	8-	9	-1	-3	+	-2.39	2.01
4/24	H	Norfolk Academy	4-	20	-16	-24	+++	-2.56		7.71
4/29	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	16	-12	-16	++	-2.56		4.14
5/01	H	Walsingham Academy	4-	10	-6	-8		-2.39	1.79
5/06	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	14	-10	-21	+++	2.56		11.26
									0.00	38.25

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Bishop Sullivan	4-	16	-0.34
4/03	H	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	3-	16	3.00
4/24	H	Norfolk Academy	4-	20	-7.71
4/29	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	16	-4.14
5/06	A	Cape Henry Collegiate	4-	14	11.26
10-goal correction: -1.57

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	2473
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.88		Natl Power Rank	2473
Natl SOS Rating	75.05		Natl SOS Rank	957
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1571
W-L Pct Rating	0.15		W-L Pct Rank	2486
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.3


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