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Hargrave Military Acad Tigers (3-11)

Region: VA 3 VICState: VACoach: Matt Brawn

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/11ROANOKE CATHOLIC (10-5)VA 3 VIC82.63L2-10 -0.100  
3/17at E.C. Glass (9-6)VA WesVal84.1L3-14 0.000  
4/03at North Cross (3-9)VA 3 VIC70.59W8- 5 0.275  
4/05vs. Seton School # (8-1)VA 3 Delaney89.01L3-16 0.000  
4/05vs. Trinity-Meadow View # (14-4)VA 3 Indep86.52L3-16 0.000  
4/08at South County LC (5-3)VA Indep76.1L7- 8ot-0.125  
4/10at Virginia Episcopal (16-3)VA 2 VIC90.6L3-12 0.000  
4/15at Roanoke Catholic (10-5)VA 3 VIC82.63L3-14 -0.025  
4/16NORTH CROSS (3-9)VA 3 VIC70.59W7- 4 0.200  
4/17at Blue Ridge School (9-5)VA 3 CavAC82.24L2-14 0.000  
4/19SOUTH COUNTY LC (5-3)VA Indep76.1L12-14 -0.200  
4/25at Fishburne Military (0-12)VA 3 VIC63.5W16- 0 0.025  
4/29COVENANT (16-4)VA 2 VIC92.2L3-12 0.000  
5/01MILLER SCHOOL (5-9)VA 3 VIC74.66L3- 9 -0.225  
# Neutral site 81.1     -0.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11HRoanoke Catholic2-10-8   -6       -1.50       -1.59
3/17AE.C. Glass3-14-11   -13       +1.67       2.38
4/03ANorth Cross8-53   -1       ++1.50       4.41
4/05NSeton School3-16-13   -13       0.00       -0.29
4/05NTrinity-Meadow View3-16-13   -11       –0.00       -2.13
4/08ASouth County LC7-8-1   -5       ++1.32       4.01
4/10AVirginia Episcopal3-12-9   -20       +++1.95       11.17
4/15ARoanoke Catholic3-14-11   -9       1.50       -1.58
4/16HNorth Cross7-43   2       -1.50       1.41
4/17ABlue Ridge School2-14-12   -10       –1.50       -2.45
4/19HSouth County LC12-14-2   -2       -1.32       0.38
4/25AFishburne Military16-016   9       +++1.50       7.46
4/29HCovenant3-12-9   -18       +++-1.95       8.91
5/01HMiller School3-9-6   -1       ––-1.50       -5.24
         0.0026.84

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/17AE.C. Glass3-14-2.38
4/05NSeton School3-160.29
4/05NTrinity-Meadow View3-162.13
4/15ARoanoke Catholic3-141.00
4/17ABlue Ridge School2-142.00
4/25AFishburne Military16-0-6.00
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 2458
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.37   Natl Power Rank 2458
Natl SOS Rating 69.45   Natl SOS Rank 1525
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 1672
W-L Pct Rating 0.21   W-L Pct Rank 2336
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3

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