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Hartford Hurricanes (13-5)

Region: VT 2 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Peter Lynch

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/19	RANDOLPH UNION (9-8)	VT 2 NVAC	84.5	6	W	14-	6		0.125
4/22	OTTER VALLEY UNION (1-12)	VT 2 NVAC	74.3		W	16-	1		0.000
4/24	at Rutland (5-12)	VT 1 MVLI	78.9		W	7-	6	ot	0.050
4/26	at Lamoille (14-4)	VT 2 NVAC	89.0	2	L	13-	14	ot	-0.225
5/01	at Mount St Joseph (0-12)	VT 1 Indep	63.9		W	15-	0		0.000
5/06	at Otter Valley Union (1-12)	VT 2 NVAC	74.3		W	10-	1		0.000
5/08	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (0-12)	VT 1 Indep	63.9		W	15-	1		0.000
5/10	at St Johnsbury (5-11)	VT 2 NVAC	79.9	10	W	19-	9		0.100
5/13	at Woodstock (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6		L	3-	13		-0.300
5/15	at Burr-Burton Academy (15-3)	VT 2 MVLI	88.6	3	L	6-	8		-0.225
5/17	at Lebanon (3-10)	NH 2	71.0		W	10-	6		0.000
5/20	BRATTLEBORO (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.2		W	16-	3		0.000
5/22	U-32 (6-12)	VT 2 NVAC	80.3	9	W	15-	3		0.025
5/23	MT ANTHONY UNION (8-9)	VT 1 MVLI	81.6		W	5-	3		0.075
5/27	at Mount St Joseph (0-12)	VT 1 Indep	63.9		W	19-	0		0.000
5/30	BURR-BURTON ACADEMY (15-3)	VT 2 MVLI	88.6	3	L	5-	9		-0.275
6/06	HARWOOD (11-5)	VT 2 NVAC	87.5	5	W	7-	5		0.175
6/11	at Rice Memorial (15-3)	VT 2 NVAC	90.9	1	L	7-	16		-0.175
			80.4						-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/19	H	Randolph Union	14-	6	8	5	+	-1.18	3.08
4/22	H	Otter Valley Union	16-	1	15	12	+	-1.18	2.96
4/24	A	Rutland	7-	6	1	8	–––	0.87		-6.93
4/26	A	Lamoille	13-	14	-1	-1		1.18	0.32
5/01	A	Mount St Joseph	15-	0	15	23	–––	0.87		-7.86
5/06	A	Otter Valley Union	10-	1	9	10		1.18	-0.69
5/08	H	Mount St Joseph	15-	1	14	25	–––	-0.87		10.61
5/10	A	St Johnsbury	19-	9	10	6	++	1.18	4.18
5/13	A	Woodstock	3-	13	-10	2	–––	0.87		12.16
5/15	A	Burr-Burton Academy	6-	8	-2	-1		1.18	-0.59
5/17	A	Lebanon	10-	6	4	16	–––	1.02		11.64
5/20	H	Brattleboro	16-	3	13	15	–	-0.87		-2.38
5/22	H	U-32	15-	3	12	9	+	-1.18	2.73
5/23	H	Mt Anthony Union	5-	3	2	7	––	-0.87		-4.96
5/27	A	Mount St Joseph	19-	0	19	23	–	0.87		-3.86
5/30	H	Burr-Burton Academy	5-	9	-4	1	––	-1.18	-4.95
6/06	H	Harwood	7-	5	2	3		-1.18	-0.80
6/11	A	Rice Memorial	7-	16	-9	-3	–––	1.18	-6.25
									0.00	-60.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/22	H	Otter Valley Union	16-	1	-2.96
5/01	A	Mount St Joseph	15-	0	7.86
5/08	H	Mount St Joseph	15-	1	10.61
5/10	A	St Johnsbury	19-	9	0.00
5/13	A	Woodstock	3-	13	0.00
5/20	H	Brattleboro	16-	3	2.38
5/22	H	U-32	15-	3	-2.00
5/27	A	Mount St Joseph	19-	0	3.86
10-goal correction: 1.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1039
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.67		Natl Power Rank	1039
Natl SOS Rating	67.74		Natl SOS Rank	1702
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2517
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	512
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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