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Hebron Academy Lumberjacks (13-2)

Region: NE North

State: ME

Coach: Jason Keough

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Winchendon (1-10)	NE East-2	82.2		W	12-	0		0.000
4/12	at Proctor (7-6)	NE North	90.0		W	16-	9		0.150
4/16	at Holderness (12-3)	NE East-1	96.5	8	L	5-	8		-0.175
4/18	at Gould Academy (5-10)	NE North	84.3		W	17-	1		0.000
4/19	KENT'S HILL (7-5)	NE North	89.4		W	14-	6		0.075
4/22	at North Yarmouth Acad (7-13)	ME East-B	86.1		W	6-	1		0.050
4/23	at New Hampton (6-8)	NE North	87.4		W	10-	4		0.100
4/25	at Kent's Hill (7-5)	NE North	89.4		W	15-	3		0.075
4/26	BREWSTER ACADEMY (14-2)	NE North	97.4	5	L	3-	13		-0.175
4/30	at Tilton School (4-9)	NE North	87.9		W	4-	2		0.125
5/03	GOULD ACADEMY (5-10)	NE North	84.3		W	16-	2		0.000
5/07	HYDE-BATH (6-8)	NE North	87.6		W	12-	10		0.050
5/12	HYDE-BATH (6-8)	NE North	87.6		W	8-	5		0.050
5/14	GOULD ACADEMY (5-10)	NE North	84.3		W	15-	1		0.000
5/17	KENT'S HILL (7-5)	NE North	89.4		W	13-	4		0.075
			86.3						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Winchendon	12-	0	12	12		0.34	0.28
4/12	A	Proctor	16-	9	7	4	+	0.34	2.60
4/16	A	Holderness	5-	8	-3	-3		0.34	0.19
4/18	A	Gould Academy	17-	1	16	11	++	0.34	4.92
4/19	H	Kent's Hill	14-	6	8	7		-0.34	0.77
4/22	A	North Yarmouth Acad	6-	1	5	8	–	0.58		-3.49
4/23	A	New Hampton	10-	4	6	6		0.34	-0.30
4/25	A	Kent's Hill	15-	3	12	7	++	0.34	5.46
4/26	H	Brewster Academy	3-	13	-10	-3	–––	-0.34	-6.54
4/30	A	Tilton School	4-	2	2	5	–	0.34	-2.70
5/03	H	Gould Academy	16-	2	14	12	+	-0.34	2.23
5/07	H	Hyde-Bath	12-	10	2	8	––	-0.34	-5.94
5/12	H	Hyde-Bath	8-	5	3	8	––	-0.34	-4.94
5/14	H	Gould Academy	15-	1	14	12	+	-0.34	2.23
5/17	H	Kent's Hill	13-	4	9	7		-0.34	1.77
									0.00	-3.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Winchendon	12-	0	-0.28
4/18	A	Gould Academy	17-	1	-4.92
4/25	A	Kent's Hill	15-	3	-2.00
4/26	H	Brewster Academy	3-	13	0.00
5/03	H	Gould Academy	16-	2	-2.23
5/14	H	Gould Academy	15-	1	-2.23
10-goal correction: -0.78

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	240
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.15		Natl Power Rank	240
Natl SOS Rating	78.80		Natl SOS Rank	614
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	717
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	124
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.7


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