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The Heights Cavaliers (11-8)

Region: MD MILL

State: MD

Coach: Mark Pim

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	vs. Westlake # (9-8)	TX 1 Centrl	82.3		W	10-	4		0.125
3/14	vs. Bishop McNamara # (2-12)	DC WCAC	73.4		W	20-	1		0.000
3/15	vs. St Vincent Pallotti # (6-13)	MD B MIAA	80.2		L	8-	10		-0.425
3/18	at Sidwell Friends (4-12)	DC MAC	79.8		W	10-	5		0.125
3/26	at St Johns DC (10-9)	DC WCAC	86.1		L	6-	10		-0.275
3/29	at St Johns Catholic Prep (17-5)	MD C MIAA	89.0		W	14-	8		0.325
4/01	GUNSTON DAY (7-8)	MD MILL	78.9		W	16-	1		0.000
4/05	CALVERTON (11-5)	MD MILL	88.7	9	W	7-	5		0.175
4/08	at Bullis (13-7)	DC IAC	91.7		L	4-	11		-0.100
4/12	GEORGETOWN DAY (2-10)	DC MAC	75.3		W	19-	3		0.000
4/14	ELEANOR ROOSEVELT (3-8)	MD MILL	75.9		W	13-	1		0.000
4/16	NOTRE DAME ACADEMY (9-9)	MD MILL	89.3	7	L	8-	11		-0.275
4/18	at Sandy Spring Friends (6-4)	MD MILL	81.0		W	16-	6		0.075
4/24	at St Andrews Episcopal (2-10)	DC MAC	73.9		W	16-	4		0.000
4/26	at Episcopal HS (7-12)	DC IAC	87.8		L	5-	12		-0.200
4/28	BETHESDA/CHEVY CHASE (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		L	8-	10		-0.125
4/30	ST STEPHEN/ST AGNES (8-12)	DC IAC	91.2		L	4-	7		-0.200
5/06	CALVERTON (11-5)	MD MILL	88.7	9	W	10-	5		0.175
5/10	vs. Notre Dame Academy # (9-9)	MD MILL	89.3	7	L	7-	11		-0.250
# Neutral site			84.3						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	N	Westlake	10-	4	6	5		0.00		0.67
3/14	N	Bishop McNamara	20-	1	19	14	++	0.00	4.64
3/15	N	St Vincent Pallotti	8-	10	-2	7	–––	0.00		-9.39
3/18	A	Sidwell Friends	10-	5	5	5		1.73	-0.19
3/26	A	St Johns DC	6-	10	-4	1	––	1.73	-5.20
3/29	A	St Johns Catholic Prep	14-	8	6	-3	+++	1.17		8.58
4/01	H	Gunston Day	16-	1	15	12	+	-1.73	2.51
4/05	H	Calverton	7-	5	2	3		-1.73	-0.77
4/08	A	Bullis	4-	11	-7	-6		1.59		-1.32
4/12	H	Georgetown Day	19-	3	16	14	+	-1.73	2.43
4/14	H	Eleanor Roosevelt	13-	1	12	13		-1.73	-1.12
4/16	H	Notre Dame Academy	8-	11	-3	1	––	-1.73	-4.32
4/18	A	Sandy Spring Friends	16-	6	10	7	+	1.73	2.64
4/24	A	St Andrews Episcopal	16-	4	12	11		1.73	0.74
4/26	A	Episcopal HS	5-	12	-7	-2	––	1.59		-5.17
4/28	H	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	8-	10	-2	-5	+	-1.33		3.43
4/30	H	St Stephen/St Agnes	4-	7	-3	-2		-1.59		-1.02
5/06	H	Calverton	10-	5	5	3	+	-1.73	2.23
5/10	N	Notre Dame Academy	7-	11	-4	0	–	0.00	-3.59
									0.00	-4.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	N	Bishop McNamara	20-	1	-4.64
4/01	H	Gunston Day	16-	1	-2.51
4/12	H	Georgetown Day	19-	3	-2.43
4/14	H	Eleanor Roosevelt	13-	1	1.12
4/18	A	Sandy Spring Friends	16-	6	0.00
4/24	A	St Andrews Episcopal	16-	4	-0.74
10-goal correction: -0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	973
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.58		Natl Power Rank	973
Natl SOS Rating	75.66		Natl SOS Rank	891
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	2776
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	1016
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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