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Hempfield Black Knights (13-12)

Region: PA LL04State: PACoach: Doug Bailey

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/12LASALLE COLLEGE HS (31-2)PA Cathol99.7L7-14 -0.075  
3/19CENTRAL CATHOLIC (8-9)PA 1DNORTH90.3L7- 8ot-0.325  
3/25EPHRATA (8-12)PA LL0482.6W14- 0 0.000  
3/27at Penn Manor (12-9)PA LL0489.58W12- 5 0.125  
3/29EASTON (14-5)PA PVLL-LV95.1L10-11ot-0.200  
4/01CONESTOGA (14-8)PA Centrl96.9L1- 6 -0.150  
4/04MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)PA Indep86.8W12- 3 0.100  
4/08BISHOP SHANAHAN (9-9)PA Suburb93.7W9- 82ot0.275  
4/11at Garnet Valley (16-7)PA DelVal96.4L3- 8 -0.125  
4/15DOWNINGTOWN EAST (14-7)PA Suburb97.5L2-13 -0.125  
4/17CONESTOGA VALLEY (4-15)PA LL0482.1W12- 3 0.000  
4/19at Cocalico (9-6)PA LL0487.7W13- 3 0.075  
4/22at Cumberland Valley (14-5)PA Mid 192.64W7- 5 0.200  
4/24LAMPETER-STRASBURG (18-7)PA LL0491.76W12- 4 0.175  
4/26at McDonogh (16-6)MD A MIAA99.0L3-10 -0.050  
4/29MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (19-9)PA LL0494.92L8-10 -0.275  
5/02CARLISLE (14-7)PA Mid 189.57W10- 9 0.100  
5/06WARWICK (17-6)PA LL0493.43L9-11 -0.325  
5/08at Elizabethtown (3-11)PA LL0479.1W13- 2 0.000  
5/10HILL SCHOOL (11-5)PA Indep96.1L7- 8 -0.175  
5/13COCALICO (9-6)PA LL0487.7W12- 1 0.050  
5/15at Warwick (17-6)PA LL0493.43L6- 9 -0.300  
5/21CHAMBERSBURG (13-6)PA Mid 188.210W15- 5 0.075  
5/23at Manheim Township (19-9)PA LL0494.92L4- 5 -0.250  
5/30vs. Susquehannock # (19-1)PA York 195.81W11- 7 0.275  
# Neutral site 89.8     -0.92  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/12HLaSalle College HS7-14-7   -7       -0.77       -0.26
3/19HCentral Catholic7-8-1   3       -0.70       -3.59
3/25HEphrata14-014   12       +-0.28       2.07
3/27APenn Manor12-57   5       +0.28       2.10
3/29HEaston10-11-1   -2       -0.77       1.15
4/01HConestoga1-6-5   -4       -0.77       -1.04
4/04HMercersburg Academy12-39   6       +-0.77       2.82
4/08HBishop Shanahan9-81   -1       -0.77       1.71
4/11AGarnet Valley3-8-5   -5       0.77       0.04
4/15HDowningtown East2-13-11   -5       –––-0.77       -6.48
4/17HConestoga Valley12-39   11       -0.28       -2.42
4/19ACocalico13-310   7       +0.28       2.67
4/22ACumberland Valley7-52   2       0.28       0.08
4/24HLampeter-Strasburg12-48   3       ++-0.28       5.21
4/26AMcDonogh3-10-7   -8       0.87       0.71
4/29HManheim Township8-10-2   1       -0.28       -2.87
5/02HCarlisle10-91   6       ––-0.28       -4.72
5/06HWarwick9-11-2   3       ––-0.28       -4.56
5/08AElizabethtown13-211   14       0.28       -2.61
5/10HHill School7-8-1   -3       +-0.77       2.19
5/13HCocalico12-111   8       +-0.28       3.11
5/15AWarwick6-9-3   2       ––0.28       -4.99
5/21HChambersburg15-510   7       +-0.28       3.12
5/23AManheim Township4-5-1   0       0.28       -1.31
5/30NSusquehannock11-74   -1       ++0.00       5.13
         0.00-2.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25HEphrata14-0-2.07
4/15HDowningtown East2-131.00
4/19ACocalico13-30.00
5/08AElizabethtown13-22.61
5/13HCocalico12-1-1.00
5/21HChambersburg15-50.00
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 93.   Natl CCR Rank 463
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 92.19   Natl Power Rank 463
Natl SOS Rating 86.20   Natl SOS Rank 208
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.92   Natl Quality Win Rank 2826
W-L Pct Rating 0.52   W-L Pct Rank 1286
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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