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Lexington Henry Clay Blue Devils (9-3)

Region: KY Div-2

State: KY

Coach: Chris Bellucci

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	LOUISVILLE ST FRANCIS (2-7)	KY Div-2	60.3		W	18-	3		0.000
3/22	at Oldham (3-8)	KY Div-2	64.3		W	10-	7		0.150
3/25	vs. Lafayette # (1-7)	KY Div-2	56.9		W	14-	4		0.000
4/09	at Lexington Sayre (10-6)	KY Div-1	82.0	6	L	9-	15		-0.050
4/12	at Greenwood (0-9)	KY Div-2	55.2		W	13-	1		0.000
4/15	at Louisville Eastern (13-3)	KY Div-2	77.9	7	W	10-	9	ot	0.300
4/19	at North Oldham (2-5)	KY Div-2	63.4		W	6-	0		0.075
5/03	vs. Lexington Dunbar # (3-11)	KY Div-1	74.6	10	L	7-	15		-0.175
5/06	at Covington Catholic (4-7)	KY Div-2	65.1		W	11-	5		0.100
5/10	LOUISVILLE ST FRANCIS (2-7)	KY Div-2	60.3		W	18-	6		0.000
5/13	LOUISVILLE CHRISTIAN (6-4)	KY Div-2	72.7		W	13-	9		0.200
5/16	vs. Louisville Eastern # (13-3)	KY Div-2	77.9	7	L	11-	12	2ot	-0.225
# Neutral site			69.5						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Louisville St Francis	18-	3	15	12	+	-1.04	3.32
3/22	A	Oldham	10-	7	3	4		1.04	-1.38
3/25	N	Lafayette	14-	4	10	13	–	0.00	-3.09
4/09	A	Lexington Sayre	9-	15	-6	-8		1.04	1.66
4/12	A	Greenwood	13-	1	12	12		1.04	-0.30
4/15	A	Louisville Eastern	10-	9	1	-2	+	1.04	2.81
4/19	A	North Oldham	6-	0	6	7		1.04	-0.59
5/03	N	Lexington Dunbar	7-	15	-8	-3	––	0.00	-4.98
5/06	A	Covington Catholic	11-	5	6	6		1.04	0.48
5/10	H	Louisville St Francis	18-	6	12	12		-1.04	0.32
5/13	H	Louisville Christian	13-	9	4	2		-1.04	1.98
5/16	N	Louisville Eastern	11-	12	-1	-1		0.00	-0.24
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	H	Louisville St Francis	18-	3	-3.32
3/25	N	Lafayette	14-	4	3.09
4/12	A	Greenwood	13-	1	0.30
5/10	H	Louisville St Francis	18-	6	-0.32
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2202
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.36		Natl Power Rank	2202
Natl SOS Rating	50.56		Natl SOS Rank	2787
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	745
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	403
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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