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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Heritage Eagles (6-9)

Region: CO Contl

State: CO

Coach: Sean McCarthy

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/07	ARAPAHOE (13-5)	CO Contl	93.9	5	L	6-	9		-0.125
3/10	at Kent Denver (15-0)	CO South	99.3	1	L	3-	16		0.000
3/12	at Mountain Vista (12-5)	CO Contl	91.2	9	L	6-	9		-0.175
3/17	at Cherry Creek (14-4)	CO Centenn	95.6	2	L	3-	11		0.000
3/19	GATEWAY (3-10)	CO Contl	76.9		W	18-	3		0.000
3/21	THUNDERRIDGE (4-10)	CO Contl	78.1		W	19-	4		0.000
3/26	at Chaparral (8-6)	CO Contl	84.6		W	15-	3		0.125
3/28	at Fort Collins Unified (13-5)	CO Foothil	94.5	4	L	5-	13		-0.025
4/02	at Regis Jesuit (12-5)	CO Contl	94.6	3	L	3-	10		0.000
4/07	HIGHLANDS RANCH (7-6)	CO Contl	82.8		W	8-	2		0.025
4/09	TORREY PINES (13-6)	CA North	93.4		W	11-	8		0.350
4/11	at Littleton (7-8)	CO Contl	85.7		W	7-	6		0.200
4/17	at Arapahoe (13-5)	CO Contl	93.9	5	L	5-	15		-0.050
4/21	DOUGLAS COUNTY (11-7)	CO Contl	92.9	6	L	3-	13		-0.175
5/02	vs. Fairview # (8-9)	CO Centenn	88.7		L	6-	10		-0.275
# Neutral site			87.6						-0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	Arapahoe	6-	9	-3	-5		-1.66	1.93
3/10	A	Kent Denver	3-	16	-13	-14		1.66	1.38
3/12	A	Mountain Vista	6-	9	-3	-3		1.66	0.11
3/17	A	Cherry Creek	3-	11	-8	-11	+	1.66	3.22
3/19	H	Gateway	18-	3	15	15		-1.66	-0.24
3/21	H	ThunderRidge	19-	4	15	14		-1.66	0.54
3/26	A	Chaparral	15-	3	12	5	+++	1.66	7.26
3/28	A	Fort Collins Unified	5-	13	-8	-9		1.66	0.62
4/02	A	Regis Jesuit	3-	10	-7	-10	+	1.66	2.58
4/07	H	Highlands Ranch	8-	2	6	9	–	-1.66	-3.40
4/09	H	Torrey Pines	11-	8	3	-4	+++	-0.93		6.89
4/11	A	Littleton	7-	6	1	2		1.66	-0.57
4/17	A	Arapahoe	5-	15	-10	-8		1.66	-1.75
4/21	H	Douglas County	3-	13	-10	-3	–––	-1.66	-7.15
5/02	N	Fairview	6-	10	-4	1	––	0.00	-4.52
									0.00	6.89

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	A	Kent Denver	3-	16	-1.38
3/19	H	Gateway	18-	3	0.24
3/21	H	ThunderRidge	19-	4	-0.54
3/26	A	Chaparral	15-	3	-2.00
4/17	A	Arapahoe	5-	15	0.00
4/21	H	Douglas County	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	840
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.55		Natl Power Rank	840
Natl SOS Rating	82.75		Natl SOS Rank	358
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	1693
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1766
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0

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