| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Bill Will |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/13 | at South Lakes (6-7) | VA Liberty | 87.7 | | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.200 |
3/17 | vs. Mount Vernon # (9-7) | VA Nationl | 86.6 | | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.275 |
3/17 | at West Potomac (1-11) | VA Patriot | 77.7 | | W | 5- | 1 | | 0.125 |
3/18 | vs. Broad Run # (16-3) | VA Dulles | 89.4 | | L | 2- | 16 | | -0.150 |
3/18 | at T.C. Williams (3-10) | VA Patriot | 80.7 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.150 |
3/26 | at Oakton (13-8) | VA Concord | 94.5 | 3 | L | 3- | 17 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | WESTFIELD (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | L | 4- | 14 | | -0.025 |
4/01 | J.E.B. STUART (1-11) | VA Nationl | 75.1 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/08 | at Robinson (8-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 6 | L | 1- | 11 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | at Chantilly (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 0- | 14 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | FAIRFAX (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.200 |
4/24 | at Centreville (4-9) | VA Concord | 84.5 | | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.250 |
4/30 | STONE BRIDGE (4-10) | VA Liberty | 83.4 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.350 |
5/01 | at Westfield (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | L | 2- | 13 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.5 | | | | | | -0.27 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | A | South Lakes | 7- | 10 | -3 | -2 | | 1.02 | -0.58 | |
3/17 | N | Mount Vernon | 8- | 11 | -3 | 1 | –– | 0.00 | -4.25 | |
3/17 | A | West Potomac | 5- | 1 | 4 | 5 | | 1.02 | -0.88 | |
3/18 | N | Broad Run | 2- | 16 | -14 | -4 | ––– | 0.00 | | -10.47 |
3/18 | A | T.C. Williams | 12- | 7 | 5 | 4 | | 1.02 | 1.28 | |
3/26 | A | Oakton | 3- | 17 | -14 | -11 | – | 1.02 | -3.07 | |
3/28 | H | Westfield | 4- | 14 | -10 | -9 | | -1.02 | -1.25 | |
4/01 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 17- | 2 | 15 | 11 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.19 | |
4/08 | A | Robinson | 1- | 11 | -10 | -10 | | 1.02 | -0.15 | |
4/12 | A | Chantilly | 0- | 14 | -14 | -15 | | 1.02 | 1.28 | |
4/18 | H | Fairfax | 10- | 4 | 6 | 2 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.38 | |
4/24 | A | Centreville | 8- | 3 | 5 | 0 | ++ | 1.02 | 4.97 | |
4/30 | H | Stone Bridge | 6- | 8 | -2 | 4 | –– | -1.02 | -5.72 | |
5/01 | A | Westfield | 2- | 13 | -11 | -11 | | 1.02 | -0.20 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -10.47 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/18 | N | Broad Run | 2- | 16 | 4.00 |
3/26 | A | Oakton | 3- | 17 | 3.07 |
3/28 | H | Westfield | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
4/01 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 17- | 2 | -4.19 |
4/08 | A | Robinson | 1- | 11 | 0.00 |
4/12 | A | Chantilly | 0- | 14 | -1.28 |
5/01 | A | Westfield | 2- | 13 | 0.20 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.13 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1255 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.86 | | Natl Power Rank | 1255 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 79.46 | | Natl SOS Rank | 569 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.27 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1964 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.36 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1930 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
|
