| Region: NY B Sec 5 | State: NY | Coach: Todd Morgan |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/31 | vs. Victor # (7-12) | NY B Sec 5 | 87.4 | | L | 6- | 13 | | -0.300 |
4/05 | BRIGHTON (0-17) | NY B Sec 5 | 80.8 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.075 |
4/10 | at Webster Thomas (14-5) | NY A Sec 5 | 95.6 | 4 | L | 8- | 13 | | -0.050 |
4/18 | SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (12-6) | NY B Sec 2 | 83.0 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/22 | PENFIELD (17-2) | NY A Sec 5 | 97.7 | 3 | L | 3- | 16 | | -0.025 |
4/24 | HILTON (8-9) | NY A Sec 5 | 89.6 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.225 |
4/29 | at Eastridge (5-13) | NY B Sec 5 | 85.8 | | W | 5- | 4 | | 0.225 |
5/01 | at Rush-Henrietta (3-14) | NY A Sec 5 | 87.2 | | W | 14- | 12 | | 0.250 |
5/03 | at Hamburg (21-2) | NY B Sec 6 | 98.6 | | L | 5- | 18 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (10-7) | NY A Sec 5 | 91.3 | | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.250 |
5/08 | at Brighton (0-17) | NY B Sec 5 | 80.8 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.150 |
5/13 | at Geneva (16-5) | NY B Sec 5 | 95.5 | 5 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.075 |
5/15 | WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5) | NY A Sec 5 | 95.6 | 4 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.125 |
5/19 | at Churchville-Chili (10-7) | NY A Sec 5 | 91.3 | | L | 12- | 16 | | -0.175 |
5/20 | at Hilton (8-9) | NY A Sec 5 | 89.6 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.200 |
5/22 | EASTRIDGE (5-13) | NY B Sec 5 | 85.8 | | W | 9- | 7 | | 0.150 |
5/29 | NEWARK (7-12) | NY B Sec 5 | 81.1 | | W | 18- | 2 | | 0.000 |
6/03 | vs. Geneva # (16-5) | NY B Sec 5 | 95.5 | 5 | L | 8- | 17 | | -0.100 |
| # Neutral site | | 89.4 | | | | | | -0.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/31 | N | Victor | 6- | 13 | -7 | 2 | ––– | 0.00 | -9.47 | |
4/05 | H | Brighton | 14- | 4 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.49 | 2.76 | |
4/10 | A | Webster Thomas | 8- | 13 | -5 | -8 | + | 1.49 | 2.94 | |
4/18 | H | Scotia-Glenville | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.23 | | 2.52 |
4/22 | H | Penfield | 3- | 16 | -13 | -9 | –– | -1.49 | -4.05 | |
4/24 | H | Hilton | 11- | 8 | 3 | 1 | + | -1.49 | 2.07 | |
4/29 | A | Eastridge | 5- | 4 | 1 | 1 | | 1.49 | 0.23 | |
5/01 | A | Rush-Henrietta | 14- | 12 | 2 | 0 | + | 1.49 | 2.07 | |
5/03 | A | Hamburg | 5- | 18 | -13 | -11 | – | 1.19 | | -2.46 |
5/05 | H | Churchville-Chili | 10- | 12 | -2 | 0 | – | -1.49 | -2.47 | |
5/08 | A | Brighton | 6- | 4 | 2 | 4 | – | 1.49 | -2.26 | |
5/13 | A | Geneva | 8- | 9 | -1 | -7 | +++ | 1.49 | 6.47 | |
5/15 | H | Webster Thomas | 9- | 11 | -2 | -5 | + | -1.49 | 2.96 | |
5/19 | A | Churchville-Chili | 12- | 16 | -4 | -3 | | 1.49 | -1.50 | |
5/20 | A | Hilton | 6- | 8 | -2 | -2 | | 1.49 | 0.04 | |
5/22 | H | Eastridge | 9- | 7 | 2 | 4 | | -1.49 | -1.75 | |
5/29 | H | Newark | 18- | 2 | 16 | 11 | ++ | -1.49 | 4.99 | |
6/03 | N | Geneva | 8- | 17 | -9 | -6 | – | 0.00 | -3.02 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | H | Brighton | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/18 | H | Scotia-Glenville | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/22 | H | Penfield | 3- | 16 | 3.00 |
5/03 | A | Hamburg | 5- | 18 | 2.46 |
5/29 | H | Newark | 18- | 2 | -4.99 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.03 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 816 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 89.25 | | Natl Power Rank | 816 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 85.60 | | Natl SOS Rank | 224 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.15 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1747 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1596 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.0 |
|
