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Highland Park Fighting Scots (17-3)

Region: TX 1 North

State: TX

Coach: Derek Thomson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	at Austin (14-3)	TX 1 Centrl	88.5	8	W	15-	1		0.000
3/01	at Westlake (9-8)	TX 1 Centrl	82.1		W	15-	1		0.000
3/12	at Southlake Carroll (5-15)	TX 1 North	80.6		W	18-	2		0.000
3/14	vs. St Mary's Annapolis # (13-6)	MD A MIAA	99.0		L	6-	13		-0.200
3/15	vs. Memphis Univ School # (13-2)	TN 1 West	95.9		W	10-	8		0.225
3/28	at Episcopal Dallas (16-5)	TX 1 North	94.0	2	L	10-	12		-0.325
3/29	CULVER ACADEMY (17-5)	IN Indep	92.9		W	15-	4		0.125
4/03	at Plano West (5-11)	TX 1 North	82.6		W	19-	4		0.000
4/05	vs. LaSalle College HS # (31-2)	PA Cathol	99.7		L	2-	11		-0.175
4/06	vs. Hotchkiss # (7-6)	NE 1 West	95.5		W	6-	4		0.225
4/11	THE WOODLANDS (12-7)	TX 1 South	90.7	6	W	7-	5		0.050
4/17	DALLAS JESUIT (13-8)	TX 1 North	90.8	5	W	9-	2		0.000
4/19	ST JOHN'S (8-6)	TX 1 South	86.6	9	W	10-	0		0.000
4/21	PLANO (12-5)	TX 1 North	93.3	3	W	13-	6		0.100
4/22	at St Mark's (14-8)	TX 1 North	92.5	4	W	9-	5		0.200
4/28	PLANO WEST (5-11)	TX 1 North	82.6		W	21-	1		0.000
4/30	ST MARK'S (14-8)	TX 1 North	92.5	4	W	13-	7		0.125
5/02	vs. Episcopal Dallas # (16-5)	TX 1 North	94.0	2	W	10-	5		0.150
5/10	vs. Austin # (14-3)	TX 1 Centrl	88.5	8	W	12-	3		0.000
5/11	vs. Episcopal Dallas # (16-5)	TX 1 North	94.0	2	W	9-	3		1.150
# Neutral site			89.8						1.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	Austin	15-	1	14	10	++	1.63	4.17
3/01	A	Westlake	15-	1	14	13		1.63	1.50
3/12	A	Southlake Carroll	18-	2	16	14	+	1.63	2.05
3/14	N	St Mary's Annapolis	6-	13	-7	-2	––	0.00		-4.78
3/15	N	Memphis Univ School	10-	8	2	1		0.00		1.14
3/28	A	Episcopal Dallas	10-	12	-2	3	––	1.63	-4.73
3/29	H	Culver Academy	15-	4	11	5	+++	-1.19		6.01
4/03	A	Plano West	19-	4	15	14		1.63	1.43
4/05	N	LaSalle College HS	2-	11	-9	-3	–––	0.00		-6.05
4/06	N	Hotchkiss	6-	4	2	1		0.00		0.70
4/11	H	The Woodlands	7-	5	2	8	–––	-1.63	-6.11
4/17	H	Dallas Jesuit	9-	2	7	10	–	-1.63	-2.88
4/19	H	St John's	10-	0	10	12	–	-1.63	-2.46
4/21	H	Plano	13-	6	7	6		-1.63	1.49
4/22	A	St Mark's	9-	5	4	2		1.63	1.91
4/28	H	Plano West	21-	1	20	17	+	-1.63	3.17
4/30	H	St Mark's	13-	7	6	5		-1.63	0.65
5/02	N	Episcopal Dallas	10-	5	5	4		0.00	0.64
5/10	N	Austin	12-	3	9	11	–	0.00	-2.46
5/11	N	Episcopal Dallas	9-	3	6	4		0.00	1.64
									0.00	-2.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/29	A	Austin	15-	1	-4.17
3/01	A	Westlake	15-	1	-1.50
3/12	A	Southlake Carroll	18-	2	-2.05
3/29	H	Culver Academy	15-	4	-1.00
4/03	A	Plano West	19-	4	-1.43
4/19	H	St John's	10-	0	2.46
4/28	H	Plano West	21-	1	-3.17
10-goal correction: -0.54

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	139
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.75		Natl Power Rank	138
Natl SOS Rating	86.78		Natl SOS Rank	191
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	81
W-L Pct Rating	0.85		W-L Pct Rank	157
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	6-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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