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Hillsborough Orange Panthers (1-13)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Ted Kellet

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	at Carrboro (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		L	5-	9		-0.175
3/11	at Panther Creek (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		L	2-	9		-0.075
3/14	TRITON (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		L	2-	9		-0.125
3/17	CARDINAL GIBBONS (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	0-	14		0.000
3/20	HOLLY SPRINGS (14-3)	NC 4A	86.9		L	2-	18		0.000
4/02	CEDAR RIDGE (11-7)	NC 3A/2A	78.2		L	5-	8		-0.075
4/11	MILLBROOK (1-10)	NC Indep	67.2		W	11-	5		0.250
4/15	WESTERN ALAMANCE (10-8)	NC 3A/2A	78.8		L	3-	10		-0.025
4/18	at Ragsdale-Jamestown (7-12)	NC 3A/2A	71.9		L	2-	5		-0.125
4/21	at Northern Durham (1-13)	NC 4A	73.2		L	4-	12		-0.075
4/24	at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)	NC 3A/2A	87.8	9	L	4-	14		0.000
4/25	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		L	5-	12		-0.150
5/01	at Cedar Ridge (11-7)	NC 3A/2A	78.2		L	0-	17		-0.025
5/01	CARRBORO (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		L	4-	7		-0.250
			79.3						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	Carrboro	5-	9	-4	-3		1.35	-1.05
3/11	A	Panther Creek	2-	9	-7	-7		1.35	-0.06
3/14	H	Triton	2-	9	-7	-5	–	-1.35	-2.50
3/17	H	Cardinal Gibbons	0-	14	-14	-14		-1.35	0.36
3/20	H	Holly Springs	2-	18	-16	-14		-1.35	-1.90
4/02	H	Cedar Ridge	5-	8	-3	-7	+	-1.35	3.57
4/11	H	Millbrook	11-	5	6	0	++	-1.35	5.74
4/15	H	Western Alamance	3-	10	-7	-9		-1.35	1.60
4/18	A	Ragsdale-Jamestown	2-	5	-3	-5	+	1.35	2.20
4/21	A	Northern Durham	4-	12	-8	-7		1.35	-1.04
4/24	A	Cardinal Gibbons	4-	14	-10	-17	+++	1.35	7.05
4/25	H	Wilmington New Hanover	5-	12	-7	-4	–	-1.35	-3.49
5/01	A	Cedar Ridge	0-	17	-17	-9	–––	1.35	-7.74
5/01	H	Carrboro	4-	7	-3	0	–	-1.35	-2.74
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	H	Cardinal Gibbons	0-	14	-0.36
3/20	H	Holly Springs	2-	18	1.90
4/24	A	Cardinal Gibbons	4-	14	-7.05
5/01	A	Cedar Ridge	0-	17	7.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	2691
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.04		Natl Power Rank	2691
Natl SOS Rating	65.72		Natl SOS Rank	1904
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	2704
W-L Pct Rating	0.07		W-L Pct Rank	2664
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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