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Hilton Cadets (8-9)

Region: NY A Sec 5

State: NY

Coach: Jared Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	at Eastridge (5-13)	NY B Sec 5	85.8		W	6-	5		0.225
4/05	WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)	NY A Sec 5	95.6	4	L	5-	15		-0.150
4/10	CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (10-7)	NY A Sec 5	91.3		L	4-	10		-0.275
4/15	PITTSFORD (9-9)	NY A Sec 5	92.3	10	L	11-	12	ot	-0.250
4/17	at Spencerport (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	85.7		W	15-	7		0.150
4/22	at Fairport (9-9)	NY A Sec 5	93.5	8	L	9-	12		-0.075
4/24	at Honeoye Falls-Lima (8-10)	NY B Sec 5	89.3		L	8-	11		-0.225
4/28	BRIGHTON (0-17)	NY B Sec 5	80.8		W	6-	2		0.050
5/01	PENFIELD (17-2)	NY A Sec 5	97.7	3	L	6-	16		-0.050
5/03	SPENCERPORT (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	85.7		W	15-	3		0.075
5/06	EASTRIDGE (5-13)	NY B Sec 5	85.8		W	15-	6		0.150
5/08	at Webster Thomas (14-5)	NY A Sec 5	95.6	4	L	6-	16		-0.075
5/12	RUSH-HENRIETTA (3-14)	NY A Sec 5	87.2		W	19-	12		0.175
5/15	at Churchville-Chili (10-7)	NY A Sec 5	91.3		L	13-	16		-0.200
5/20	HONEOYE FALLS-LIMA (8-10)	NY B Sec 5	89.3		W	8-	6		0.200
5/22	at Brighton (0-17)	NY B Sec 5	80.8		W	14-	4		0.125
5/27	at Webster Thomas (14-5)	NY A Sec 5	95.6	4	L	6-	14		-0.075
			89.2						-0.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	A	Eastridge	6-	5	1	1		1.49	-0.32
4/05	H	Webster Thomas	5-	15	-10	-4	––	-1.49	-5.60
4/10	H	Churchville-Chili	4-	10	-6	1	–––	-1.49	-7.03
4/15	H	Pittsford	11-	12	-1	0		-1.49	-0.57
4/17	A	Spencerport	15-	7	8	4	+	1.49	3.61
4/22	A	Fairport	9-	12	-3	-7	+	1.49	3.66
4/24	A	Honeoye Falls-Lima	8-	11	-3	-1	–	1.49	-2.07
4/28	H	Brighton	6-	2	4	8	–	-1.49	-3.80
5/01	H	Penfield	6-	16	-10	-8		-1.49	-1.60
5/03	H	Spencerport	15-	3	12	7	++	-1.49	4.64
5/06	H	Eastridge	15-	6	9	4	++	-1.49	4.70
5/08	A	Webster Thomas	6-	16	-10	-7	–	1.49	-2.62
5/12	H	Rush-Henrietta	19-	12	7	3	+	-1.49	3.53
5/15	A	Churchville-Chili	13-	16	-3	-2		1.49	-1.05
5/20	H	Honeoye Falls-Lima	8-	6	2	2		-1.49	-0.04
5/22	A	Brighton	14-	4	10	5	++	1.49	5.18
5/27	A	Webster Thomas	6-	14	-8	-7		1.49	-0.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Webster Thomas	5-	15	0.00
5/01	H	Penfield	6-	16	0.00
5/03	H	Spencerport	15-	3	-2.00
5/08	A	Webster Thomas	6-	16	0.00
5/22	A	Brighton	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	786
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.61		Natl Power Rank	786
Natl SOS Rating	85.12		Natl SOS Rank	241
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	1881
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1477
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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