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Holy Cross-St Cath Raiders (15-1)

Region: CN NRHSAA

State: CN

Coach: David Walker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	at Ridley College (3-10)	CN CISAA	76.0		W	9-	3		0.000
4/24	at Durham Jordan (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		W	16-	11		0.175
4/25	at Durham Riverside (5-16)	NC 4A	81.1		W	11-	7		0.025
4/29	vs. Churchill # (0-6)	CN NRHSAA	64.0		W	23-	1		0.000
4/29	vs. Notre Dame Welland # (8-4)	CN NRHSAA	85.9	6	W	10-	4		0.125
5/06	vs. Governor Simcoe # (3-4)	CN NRHSAA	72.2		W	16-	2		0.000
5/06	vs. Lakeshore Catholic # (4-4)	CN NRHSAA	79.8		W	16-	5		0.050
5/13	vs. Eden # (5-2)	CN NRHSAA	79.0		W	13-	2		0.000
5/13	vs. Denis Morris Catholic # (5-3)	CN NRHSAA	84.9	9	W	13-	9		0.125
5/20	LAKESHORE CATHOLIC (4-4)	CN NRHSAA	79.8		W	17-	4		0.000
5/20	NOTRE DAME WELLAND (8-4)	CN NRHSAA	85.9	6	W	14-	4		0.075
6/04	vs. Mayfield # (9-3)	CN ROPSSA	84.2		W	12-	5		0.075
6/04	vs. Sir William Mulock # (5-5)	CN YRAA-N	79.9		W	12-	2		0.000
6/04	vs. St Peter's # (11-6)	CN COSSA	84.2		W	9-	2		0.100
6/04	vs. Christ The King # (3-2)	CN Indep	87.5	3	W	9-	4		0.225
6/05	vs. Monsignor Paul Dwyer # (14-3)	CN LOSSA	88.6	2	L	9-	10		-0.375
# Neutral site			83.6						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	A	Ridley College	9-	3	6	10	–	1.97	-3.94
4/24	A	Durham Jordan	16-	11	5	3		1.66		1.60
4/25	A	Durham Riverside	11-	7	4	9	––	1.66		-5.25
4/29	N	Churchill	23-	1	22	22		0.00	-0.35
4/29	N	Notre Dame Welland	10-	4	6	5		0.00	1.40
5/06	N	Governor Simcoe	16-	2	14	17	–	0.00	-3.31
5/06	N	Lakeshore Catholic	16-	5	11	8	+	0.00	2.80
5/13	N	Eden	13-	2	11	11		0.00	0.45
5/13	N	Denis Morris Catholic	13-	9	4	5		0.00	-1.43
5/20	H	Lakeshore Catholic	17-	4	13	10	+	-1.97	2.83
5/20	H	Notre Dame Welland	14-	4	10	7	+	-1.97	3.43
6/04	N	Mayfield	12-	5	7	7		0.00	-0.22
6/04	N	Sir William Mulock	12-	2	10	10		0.00	0.28
6/04	N	St Peter's	9-	2	7	6		0.00	0.64
6/04	N	Christ The King	9-	4	5	1	+	0.00	3.78
6/05	N	Monsignor Paul Dwyer	9-	10	-1	5	–––	0.00	-6.35
									0.00	-3.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/29	N	Churchill	23-	1	0.35
5/06	N	Governor Simcoe	16-	2	3.31
5/06	N	Lakeshore Catholic	16-	5	-1.00
5/13	N	Eden	13-	2	-0.45
5/20	H	Lakeshore Catholic	17-	4	-2.83
5/20	H	Notre Dame Welland	14-	4	0.00
6/04	N	Sir William Mulock	12-	2	-0.28
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	513
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.00		Natl Power Rank	513
Natl SOS Rating	73.79		Natl SOS Rank	1080
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	536
W-L Pct Rating	0.94		W-L Pct Rank	50
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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