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Wilmington Hoggard Vikings (17-5)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Steve Treman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	at Broughton-Needham (7-8)	NC 4A	79.3		W	5-	4		0.100
3/07	at Charlotte Catholic (20-0)	NC 3A/2A	95.1	2	L	7-	17		-0.075
3/08	at Charlotte Myers Park (9-10)	NC 4A	84.3		L	10-	11	ot	-0.275
3/11	at Wilmington Ashley (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		W	15-	2		0.075
3/15	DARLINGTON (5-10)	GA Area08	84.9		W	19-	0		0.150
3/18	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	12-	5		0.000
3/20	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.7		W	15-	7		0.200
3/26	CEDAR RIDGE (11-7)	NC 3A/2A	78.2		W	13-	2		0.000
3/29	EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7	4	L	7-	11		-0.200
4/01	APEX (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	W	10-	9	ot	0.300
4/04	HOLLY SPRINGS (14-3)	NC 4A	86.9		W	8-	6		0.200
4/09	at Sts Peter & Paul (1-13)	MD B MIAA	75.5		W	13-	6		0.000
4/10	at St Vincent Pallotti (6-13)	MD B MIAA	80.2		W	9-	6		0.100
4/15	WILMINGTON LANEY (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		W	11-	3		0.125
4/18	at SouthEast Guilford (15-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.6		W	7-	6	3ot	0.150
4/19	at NorthWest Guilford (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		W	13-	8		0.150
4/22	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		W	13-	5		0.025
4/23	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.7		L	7-	8		-0.375
4/29	at Wilmington New Hanover (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	12-	0		0.000
5/02	at Wilmington Laney (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		W	11-	8		0.200
5/07	WAKEFIELD (15-4)	NC 4A	88.2	7	W	14-	8		0.225
5/09	at Greensboro Page (13-3)	NC 4A	89.7	5	L	8-	12		-0.125
			84.4						0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	Broughton-Needham	5-	4	1	6	––	1.35	-5.11
3/07	A	Charlotte Catholic	7-	17	-10	-7	–	1.35	-3.02
3/08	A	Charlotte Myers Park	10-	11	-1	1	–	1.35	-2.05
3/11	A	Wilmington Ashley	15-	2	13	7	+++	1.35	6.29
3/15	H	Darlington	19-	0	19	4	+++	-1.10		14.83
3/18	H	Wilmington New Hanover	12-	5	7	13	––	-1.35	-5.96
3/20	A	Cape Fear Academy	15-	7	8	2	+++	1.45		6.14
3/26	H	Cedar Ridge	13-	2	11	10		-1.35	1.09
3/29	H	East Chapel Hill	7-	11	-4	-2	–	-1.35	-2.48
4/01	H	Apex	10-	9	1	-2	+	-1.35	3.48
4/04	H	Holly Springs	8-	6	2	2		-1.35	-0.37
4/09	A	Sts Peter & Paul	13-	6	7	11	––	1.37		-4.11
4/10	A	St Vincent Pallotti	9-	6	3	6	–	1.37		-3.43
4/15	H	Wilmington Laney	11-	3	8	5	+	-1.35	3.02
4/18	A	SouthEast Guilford	7-	6	1	4	–	1.35	-2.75
4/19	A	NorthWest Guilford	13-	8	5	4		1.35	0.94
4/22	H	Wilmington Ashley	13-	5	8	9		-1.35	-1.40
4/23	H	Cape Fear Academy	7-	8	-1	5	––	-1.45		-5.76
4/29	A	Wilmington New Hanover	12-	0	12	10		1.35	1.73
5/02	A	Wilmington Laney	11-	8	3	2		1.35	0.71
5/07	H	Wakefield	14-	8	6	1	++	-1.35	5.39
5/09	A	Greensboro Page	8-	12	-4	-5		1.35	0.50
									0.00	7.68

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/07	A	Charlotte Catholic	7-	17	0.00
3/11	A	Wilmington Ashley	15-	2	-3.00
3/15	H	Darlington	19-	0	-9.00
3/26	H	Cedar Ridge	13-	2	-1.09
4/29	A	Wilmington New Hanover	12-	0	-1.73
10-goal correction: -0.67

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	926
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.00		Natl Power Rank	926
Natl SOS Rating	75.90		Natl SOS Rank	871
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	310
W-L Pct Rating	0.77		W-L Pct Rank	346
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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