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Homewood Patriots (3-11)

Region: AL

State: AL

Coach: Jamie Ponseti

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	MOUNTAIN BROOK (9-7)	AL	79.6	3	L	1-	16		-0.025
3/05	VESTAVIA HILLS (2-9)	AL	70.5	7	L	8-	10		-0.275
3/09	CAPTAIN SHREVE (9-7)	TX 2 No-East	81.2		L	6-	11		-0.025
3/25	at Mountain Brook (9-7)	AL	79.6	3	L	1-	12		0.000
3/27	at Spain Park (5-8)	AL	72.0	5	L	6-	9		-0.175
4/01	vs. Huntsville # (11-4)	AL	81.3	2	L	5-	14		0.000
4/08	JOHN CARROLL (3-9)	AL	71.5	6	L	9-	12		-0.250
4/10	BIRMINGHAM-HOOVER (15-2)	AL	86.0	1	L	4-	18		0.000
4/12	HUNTSVILLE (11-4)	AL	81.3	2	L	0-	1		-0.025
4/17	SPAIN PARK (5-8)	AL	72.0	5	L	12-	18		-0.250
4/19	at Vestavia Hills (2-9)	AL	70.5	7	W	7-	2		0.275
4/22	at Birmingham-Hoover (15-2)	AL	86.0	1	L	1-	14		0.000
4/24	at John Carroll (3-9)	AL	71.5	6	W	10-	9		0.325
4/26	SIGNAL MOUNTAIN (2-13)	TN 2 East	64.2		W	14-	9		0.075
# Neutral site			76.0						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	H	Mountain Brook	1-	16	-15	-9	––	-1.32	-5.53
3/05	H	Vestavia Hills	8-	10	-2	1	–	-1.32	-3.44
3/09	H	Captain Shreve	6-	11	-5	-9	++	-1.53		4.25
3/25	A	Mountain Brook	1-	12	-11	-12		1.32	1.10
3/27	A	Spain Park	6-	9	-3	-3		1.32	-0.22
4/01	N	Huntsville	5-	14	-9	-10		0.00	0.90
4/08	H	John Carroll	9-	12	-3	0	–	-1.32	-2.89
4/10	H	Birmingham-Hoover	4-	18	-14	-15		-1.32	1.18
4/17	H	Spain Park	12-	18	-6	0	––	-1.32	-5.85
4/19	A	Vestavia Hills	7-	2	5	-1	+++	1.32	6.20
4/22	A	Birmingham-Hoover	1-	14	-13	-18	++	1.32	4.81
4/24	A	John Carroll	10-	9	1	-3	+	1.32	3.74
4/26	H	Signal Mountain	14-	9	5	7	–	-0.93		-2.15
									0.00	2.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/28	H	Mountain Brook	1-	16	5.00
3/25	A	Mountain Brook	1-	12	-1.10
4/10	H	Birmingham-Hoover	4-	18	-1.18
4/22	A	Birmingham-Hoover	1-	14	-4.81
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	2535
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.39		Natl Power Rank	2535
Natl SOS Rating	60.39		Natl SOS Rank	2355
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2112
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	2313
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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