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Homer Trojans (18-3)

Conference: OSHL2

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Tom Cottrell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	WESTHILL (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	93.8		W	12-	8		0.125
4/01	JAMESVILLE-DEWITT (17-3)	NY B Sec 3	98.5	3	W	10-	6		0.300
4/03	CHITTENANGO (4-15)	NY C Sec 3	87.4		W	14-	6		0.000
4/05	CORTLAND (8-12)	NY B Sec 3	91.4		W	10-	1		0.100
4/07	at Fulton (5-14)	NY B Sec 3	88.9		W	13-	5		0.075
4/11	at Marcellus (7-11)	NY C Sec 3	90.8		W	12-	5		0.125
4/16	NEW HARTFORD (13-7)	NY C Sec 3	95.2		W	8-	7	ot	0.200
4/18	at Whitesboro (7-12)	NY B Sec 3	90.4		W	9-	3		0.150
4/22	at East Syracuse-Minoa (11-9)	NY B Sec 3	94.1		W	10-	9		0.200
4/24	at Jamesville-DeWitt (17-3)	NY B Sec 3	98.5	3	L	5-	17		-0.150
4/26	at Chittenango (4-15)	NY C Sec 3	87.4		W	12-	5		0.050
4/29	at Cortland (8-12)	NY B Sec 3	91.4		W	11-	6		0.175
5/01	FULTON (5-14)	NY B Sec 3	88.9		W	14-	4		0.025
5/08	at Jordan-Elbridge (7-12)	NY C Sec 3	89.9		W	13-	8		0.125
5/10	WHITESBORO (7-12)	NY B Sec 3	90.4		W	11-	5		0.100
5/13	at New Hartford (13-7)	NY C Sec 3	95.2		W	9-	4		0.250
5/17	CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (13-7)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		L	7-	8		-0.350
5/20	EAST SYRACUSE-MINOA (11-9)	NY B Sec 3	94.1		W	15-	6		0.150
5/27	CLINTON (11-8)	NY C Sec 3	81.7		W	19-	2		0.000
5/29	CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (13-7)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		W	8-	2		0.150
5/31	vs. Christian Bros # (15-5)	NY C Sec 3	95.8	10	L	6-	13		-0.300
# Neutral site			91.6						1.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Westhill	12-	8	4	5		-1.08	-0.79
4/01	H	Jamesville-DeWitt	10-	6	4	-2	++	-1.08	5.71
4/03	H	Chittenango	14-	6	8	10	–	-1.08	-2.27
4/05	H	Cortland	10-	1	9	6	+	-1.08	3.42
4/07	A	Fulton	13-	5	8	7		1.08	1.43
4/11	A	Marcellus	12-	5	7	5	+	1.08	2.35
4/16	H	New Hartford	8-	7	1	2		-1.08	-1.34
4/18	A	Whitesboro	9-	3	6	4		1.08	1.76
4/22	A	East Syracuse-Minoa	10-	9	1	2		1.08	-0.52
4/24	A	Jamesville-DeWitt	5-	17	-12	-4	–––	1.08	-8.13
4/26	A	Chittenango	12-	5	7	8		1.08	-1.12
4/29	A	Cortland	11-	6	5	3		1.08	1.58
5/01	H	Fulton	14-	4	10	9		-1.08	1.27
5/08	A	Jordan-Elbridge	13-	8	5	5		1.08	0.26
5/10	H	Whitesboro	11-	5	6	6		-1.08	-0.40
5/13	A	New Hartford	9-	4	5	0	++	1.08	4.82
5/17	H	Cazenovia Central	7-	8	-1	4	––	-1.08	-5.17
5/20	H	East Syracuse-Minoa	15-	6	9	4	++	-1.08	5.33
5/27	H	Clinton	19-	2	17	18		-1.08	-0.77
5/29	H	Cazenovia Central	8-	2	6	4		-1.08	1.83
5/31	N	Christian Bros	6-	13	-7	2	–––	0.00	-9.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/24	A	Jamesville-DeWitt	5-	17	2.00
5/01	H	Fulton	14-	4	0.00
5/27	H	Clinton	19-	2	0.77
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	78
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.67		Natl Power Rank	72
Natl SOS Rating	90.02		Natl SOS Rank	101
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	105
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	142
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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