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Hopkinton Hillers (11-10)

Conference: TriVal

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Justin O'Leary

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Medfield (21-4)	MA 2	96.1	6	L	5-	8		-0.025
4/01	at Ashland (4-15)	MA 3	82.5		W	10-	0		0.000
4/03	BELLINGHAM (0-19)	MA 3	75.3		W	17-	1		0.000
4/08	at Holliston (10-9)	MA 2	90.7		W	7-	6	ot	0.200
4/10	at Westwood (11-11)	MA 3	90.5		W	10-	6		0.225
4/15	MEDWAY (3-14)	MA 3	83.8		W	15-	1		0.000
4/17	DOVER-SHERBORN (15-6)	MA 3	94.1		L	5-	11		-0.200
4/19	at King Philip (20-2)	MA 2	94.5		L	4-	12		-0.175
4/22	at Algonquin (13-7)	MA 2	91.1		L	5-	11		-0.250
4/24	at Boston College HS (10-7)	MA 1	94.5		L	1-	10		-0.125
4/30	MEDFIELD (21-4)	MA 2	96.1	6	L	9-	14		-0.075
5/02	ASHLAND (4-15)	MA 3	82.5		W	12-	0		0.000
5/06	at Bellingham (0-19)	MA 3	75.3		W	16-	3		0.000
5/08	HOLLISTON (10-9)	MA 2	90.7		W	14-	6		0.150
5/10	HINGHAM (5-12)	MA 2	92.7		L	8-	12		-0.200
5/13	WESTWOOD (11-11)	MA 3	90.5		W	10-	8		0.150
5/15	at Medway (3-14)	MA 3	83.8		W	9-	4		0.050
5/17	WESTBOROUGH (17-3)	MA 2	93.0		L	9-	10		-0.250
5/19	at Dover-Sherborn (15-6)	MA 3	94.1		W	4-	3	2ot	0.350
5/21	at Scituate (16-6)	MA 3	95.2	7	L	6-	13		-0.100
5/28	at Norwood (16-6)	MA 2	93.5		L	6-	8		-0.175
			84.7						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Medfield	5-	8	-3	-9	++	1.09	5.68
4/01	A	Ashland	10-	0	10	10		1.09	-0.48
4/03	H	Bellingham	17-	1	16	15		-1.09	0.80
4/08	A	Holliston	7-	6	1	2		1.09	-1.31
4/10	A	Westwood	10-	6	4	1	+	1.09	2.57
4/15	H	Medway	15-	1	14	11	+	-1.09	3.44
4/17	H	Dover-Sherborn	5-	11	-6	-2	––	-1.09	-4.20
4/19	A	King Philip	4-	12	-8	-3	––	1.09	-5.32
4/22	A	Algonquin	5-	11	-6	0	––	1.17		-5.84
4/24	A	Boston College HS	1-	10	-9	-5	–	1.09	-3.93
4/30	H	Medfield	9-	14	-5	-7		-1.09	1.50
5/02	H	Ashland	12-	0	12	13		-1.09	-0.66
5/06	A	Bellingham	16-	3	13	13		1.09	-0.02
5/08	H	Holliston	14-	6	8	4	+	-1.09	3.51
5/10	H	Hingham	8-	12	-4	-2		-1.09	-1.53
5/13	H	Westwood	10-	8	2	4		-1.09	-1.61
5/15	A	Medway	9-	4	5	8	–	1.09	-3.38
5/17	H	Westborough	9-	10	-1	0		-1.17		-1.27
5/19	A	Dover-Sherborn	4-	3	1	-4	++	1.09	4.98
5/21	A	Scituate	6-	13	-7	-6		1.09	-0.93
5/28	A	Norwood	6-	8	-2	-3		1.09	0.88
									0.00	-7.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Ashland	10-	0	0.48
4/03	H	Bellingham	17-	1	-0.80
4/15	H	Medway	15-	1	-3.44
5/02	H	Ashland	12-	0	0.66
5/06	A	Bellingham	16-	3	0.02
10-goal correction: -0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	497
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.10		Natl Power Rank	497
Natl SOS Rating	76.21		Natl SOS Rank	847
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2267
W-L Pct Rating	0.52		W-L Pct Rank	1281
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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