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Housatonic Valley Mountaineers (4-12)

Conference: Indep

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Mark Goulding

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	EAST CATHOLIC (1-15)	CT S	71.9		W	8-	2		0.075
4/12	at Ellington (6-10)	CT S	79.5		L	3-	4		-0.200
4/15	SOUTH WINDSOR (8-10)	CT L	85.2		L	4-	7		-0.125
4/17	SUFFIELD HS (10-8)	CT S	85.6		L	5-	12		-0.125
4/19	NEWINGTON (3-13)	CT L	80.7		L	4-	5		-0.200
4/22	at Masuk-Monroe (13-6)	CT L	91.7		L	2-	17		0.000
4/24	LEWIS MILLS-BURLINGTON (8-9)	CT S	78.3		W	6-	3		0.175
4/29	at Immaculate Danbury (8-10)	CT S	85.5		L	3-	11		-0.075
5/01	at East Catholic (1-15)	CT S	71.9		W	5-	3		0.150
5/06	at Tolland (7-10)	CT S	81.6		L	5-	7		-0.150
5/10	at Pomperaug (6-10)	CT M	84.7		L	3-	14		-0.050
5/12	at Danbury (3-13)	CT L	81.0		L	4-	8		-0.125
5/15	AVON HS (12-6)	CT M	90.3		L	1-	13		0.000
5/17	STAMFORD (4-11)	CT L	82.7		W	8-	7	2ot	0.350
5/20	at Somers (14-7)	CT S	89.7		L	2-	15		0.000
5/22	at Granby (12-7)	CT S	86.3		L	3-	7		-0.075
			77.3						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	East Catholic	8-	2	6	7		-1.20	-0.51
4/12	A	Ellington	3-	4	-1	-2		1.20	0.71
4/15	H	South Windsor	4-	7	-3	-5		-1.20	1.61
4/17	H	Suffield HS	5-	12	-7	-5		-1.20	-1.63
4/19	H	Newington	4-	5	-1	-2		-1.20	0.84
4/22	A	Masuk-Monroe	2-	17	-15	-13	–	1.20	-2.14
4/24	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	6-	3	3	3		-1.20	-0.06
4/29	A	Immaculate Danbury	3-	11	-8	-7		1.20	-0.99
5/01	A	East Catholic	5-	3	2	4	–	1.20	-2.11
5/06	A	Tolland	5-	7	-2	-4	+	1.20	2.00
5/10	A	Pomperaug	3-	14	-11	-8	–	1.20	-2.58
5/12	A	Danbury	4-	8	-4	-5		1.20	1.48
5/15	H	Avon HS	1-	13	-12	-10	–	-1.20	-2.46
5/17	H	Stamford	8-	7	1	-4	++	-1.20	4.91
5/20	A	Somers	2-	15	-13	-11	–	1.20	-2.34
5/22	A	Granby	3-	7	-4	-7	+	1.20	3.28
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/22	A	Masuk-Monroe	2-	17	2.14
5/10	A	Pomperaug	3-	14	1.00
5/15	H	Avon HS	1-	13	2.00
5/20	A	Somers	2-	15	2.34
10-goal correction: 0.47

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	1962
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.52		Natl Power Rank	1962
Natl SOS Rating	62.40		Natl SOS Rank	2218
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	2141
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	2213
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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