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Hotchkiss Bearcats (7-6)

Conference: FNDRegion: NE 1 WestState: CTCoach: Chris Burchfield

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/05at Lawrenceville (17-2)NJ Private99.6L6- 7 -0.125  
4/06vs. Highland Park # (17-3)TX 1 North96.8L4- 6 -0.225  
4/12NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (5-11)NE 1 West91.310W11- 6 0.125  
4/19at Brunswick School (8-8)NE 1 West93.67W10- 8 0.200  
4/23at Kent School (7-9)NE 1 West91.3W12-11ot0.150  
4/26SALISBURY SCHOOL (12-4)NE 1 West97.73L8- 9 -0.225  
4/30AVON OLD FARMS (11-5)NE 1 West95.46L6- 7 -0.300  
5/03at Deerfield (15-1)NE 1 West99.21L6- 7 -0.200  
5/10at Choate (7-8)NE 1 West92.29W9- 5 0.150  
5/14at Trinity-Pawling (14-2)NE 1 West98.72W15- 8 0.275  
5/17at Taft School (4-10)NE 1 West90.3W9- 5 0.125  
5/21at Westminster School (7-7)NE 1 West92.58W9- 8 0.175  
5/24LOOMIS CHAFFEE (11-5)NE 1 West96.44L7- 8 -0.275  
# Neutral site 95.6     -0.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/05ALawrenceville6-7-1   -5       +0.84       3.94
4/06NHighland Park4-6-2   -1       0.00       -0.70
4/12HNorthfield Mt Hermon11-65   5       -0.32       0.12
4/19ABrunswick School10-82   2       0.32       0.38
4/23AKent School12-111   4       –0.32       -3.49
4/26HSalisbury School8-9-1   -1       -0.32       0.49
4/30HAvon Old Farms6-7-1   2       –-0.32       -2.56
5/03ADeerfield6-7-1   -2       0.32       1.34
5/10AChoate9-54   4       0.32       0.01
5/14ATrinity-Pawling15-87   -1       +++0.32       8.35
5/17ATaft School9-54   5       0.32       -0.60
5/21AWestminster School9-81   3       0.32       -1.81
5/24HLoomis Chaffee7-8-1   1       –-0.32       -2.26
         0.003.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 224
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.45   Natl Power Rank 224
Natl SOS Rating 99.90   Natl SOS Rank 1
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 1711
W-L Pct Rating 0.54   W-L Pct Rank 1188
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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