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Houston Mustangs (12-5)

Region: TN 1 WestState: TNCoach: Ed Reynolds

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/01MOUNTAIN BROOK (9-7)AL79.6W13- 5 0.050  
3/02BIRMINGHAM-HOOVER (15-2)AL86.0W11-10 0.200  
3/12at Collierville (3-5)TN 2 West67.1W17- 3 0.000  
3/25at St George's (8-5)TN 2 West73.0W19- 4 0.000  
3/26LIBERTY-OLENTANGY (3-15)OH 1 Reg 286.0W16- 4 0.200  
3/29at Montgomery Bell Acad (8-6)TN 1 East88.23L6- 8 -0.150  
3/30at Ravenwood (7-9)TN 1 East81.88L9-11 -0.300  
4/02CHRISTIAN BROS (12-6)TN 1 West87.04W12- 8 0.225  
4/05FRANKLIN (8-6)TN 1 West84.06W13-12 0.175  
4/08LAUSANNE COLLEGIATE (2-9)TN 2 West58.3W25- 4 0.000  
4/12FARRAGUT (5-9)TN 1 East80.09W10- 7 0.100  
4/14UNIV SCHOOL NASHVILLE (9-6)TN 1 West82.77W8- 7 0.150  
4/16MEMPHIS UNIV SCHOOL (13-2)TN 1 West95.92L8-11 -0.050  
4/23at Christian Bros (12-6)TN 1 West87.04W11- 9 0.300  
4/25at Memphis Univ School (13-2)TN 1 West95.92L5-20 0.000  
5/02RAVENWOOD (7-9)TN 1 East81.88W13- 2 0.125  
5/10vs. McCallie # (13-2)TN 1 East96.21L3-14 -0.050  
# Neutral site 84.3     0.97  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/01HMountain Brook13-58   8       -1.32       -0.39
3/02HBirmingham-Hoover11-101   2       -1.32       -1.04
3/12ACollierville17-314   19       ––0.94       -4.64
3/25ASt George's19-415   13       +0.94       2.24
3/26HLiberty-Olentangy16-412   2       +++-1.30       10.02
3/29AMontgomery Bell Acad6-8-2   -4       +1.33       2.37
3/30ARavenwood9-11-2   2       –1.33       -3.88
4/02HChristian Bros12-84   1       +-1.33       3.10
4/05HFranklin13-121   3       –-1.33       -2.40
4/08HLausanne Collegiate25-421   29       –––-0.94       -8.38
4/12HFarragut10-73   6       –-1.33       -3.16
4/14HUniv School Nashville8-71   4       –-1.33       -3.38
4/16HMemphis Univ School8-11-3   -8       ++-1.33       4.55
4/23AChristian Bros11-92   -2       +1.33       3.76
4/25AMemphis Univ School5-20-15   -10       ––1.33       -4.79
5/02HRavenwood13-211   5       +++-1.33       6.46
5/10NMcCallie3-14-11   -8       –0.00       -2.63
         0.00-2.19

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/12ACollierville17-34.64
3/25ASt George's19-4-2.24
3/26HLiberty-Olentangy16-4-2.00
4/08HLausanne Collegiate25-48.38
4/25AMemphis Univ School5-205.00
5/02HRavenwood13-2-1.00
5/10NMcCallie3-141.00
10-goal correction: 0.81

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 86.   Natl CCR Rank 1184
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.72   Natl Power Rank 1184
Natl SOS Rating 76.46   Natl SOS Rank 829
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.97   Natl Quality Win Rank 254
W-L Pct Rating 0.71   W-L Pct Rank 576
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.0



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