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Howard Lions (9-8)

Region: MD 32 South

State: MD

Coach: Greg Bulger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Wilde Lake (4-9)	MD 32 South	85.5		W	8-	3		0.200
3/29	NORTH COUNTY (3-12)	MD 43 East	83.6		W	8-	6		0.100
3/29	CENTENNIAL (13-6)	MD 32 South	94.3		L	4-	11		-0.175
4/01	OAKLAND MILLS (1-12)	MD 21 West	74.8		W	15-	2		0.000
4/07	at Glenelg HS (18-0)	MD 21 West	96.9	4	L	5-	13		-0.050
4/08	ATHOLTON (6-7)	MD 32 South	89.7		L	8-	15		-0.250
4/11	RESERVOIR (12-5)	MD 32 South	91.7		L	12-	14		-0.250
4/15	at Marriott's Ridge (12-5)	MD 21 West	94.1		L	11-	14		-0.150
4/18	HAMMOND (3-12)	MD 32 South	81.7		W	16-	2		0.075
4/22	MOUNT HEBRON (5-9)	MD 32 South	86.5		W	14-	7		0.150
4/25	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (10-7)	MD B MIAA	83.4		W	13-	12	ot	0.100
4/29	at Long Reach (2-13)	MD 32 South	76.2		W	16-	0		0.000
5/02	at River Hill (7-7)	MD 32 South	91.3		L	12-	14		-0.200
5/03	FALLSTON (12-4)	MD 32 North	95.1		L	6-	12		-0.125
5/08	HAMMOND (3-12)	MD 32 South	81.7		W	12-	5		0.075
5/10	at City-Baltimore (11-2)	MD 32 South	82.5		W	18-	0		0.025
5/13	at Centennial (13-6)	MD 32 South	94.3		L	6-	19		-0.125
			83.3						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Wilde Lake	8-	3	5	2	+	0.93	2.77
3/29	H	North County	8-	6	2	6	–	-0.93	-3.98
3/29	H	Centennial	4-	11	-7	-3	–	-0.93	-3.72
4/01	H	Oakland Mills	15-	2	13	15		-0.93	-1.57
4/07	A	Glenelg HS	5-	13	-8	-8		0.93	-0.20
4/08	H	Atholton	8-	15	-7	0	–––	-0.93	-7.04
4/11	H	Reservoir	12-	14	-2	0	–	-0.93	-2.35
4/15	A	Marriott's Ridge	11-	14	-3	-4		0.93	1.02
4/18	H	Hammond	16-	2	14	7	+++	-0.93	6.68
4/22	H	Mount Hebron	14-	7	7	4	+	-0.93	3.21
4/25	H	Chapelgate Christian	13-	12	1	6	––	-1.16		-5.27
4/29	A	Long Reach	16-	0	16	11	++	0.93	5.15
5/02	A	River Hill	12-	14	-2	-2		0.93	0.48
5/03	H	Fallston	6-	12	-6	-5		-0.93	-0.83
5/08	H	Hammond	12-	5	7	7		-0.93	-0.32
5/10	A	City-Baltimore	18-	0	18	9	+++	0.93	8.55
5/13	A	Centennial	6-	19	-13	-5	–––	0.93	-7.86
									0.00	-5.27

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Oakland Mills	15-	2	1.57
4/18	H	Hammond	16-	2	-4.00
4/29	A	Long Reach	16-	0	-5.15
5/10	A	City-Baltimore	18-	0	-8.00
5/13	A	Centennial	6-	19	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.74

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	899
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.55		Natl Power Rank	899
Natl SOS Rating	73.45		Natl SOS Rank	1107
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2476
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1231
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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