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Horseheads Blue Raiders (8-11)

Region: NY A Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Doug Jacobs

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	vs. Chenango Forks # (19-2)	NY B Sec 4	96.4	3	L	8-	11		-0.150
3/29	vs. Lowville # (5-12)	NY C Sec 3	86.1		W	12-	8		0.200
4/01	CHENANGO VALLEY (12-6)	NY C Sec 4	87.9	7	W	8-	3		0.200
4/03	WHITNEY POINT (1-18)	NY C Sec 4	71.0		W	15-	3		0.000
4/05	CORNING WEST (10-10)	NY B Sec 4	90.0	5	W	9-	8	ot	0.300
4/08	ELMIRA-NOTRE DAME (10-7)	NY C Sec 4	86.5	9	W	11-	10	ot	0.200
4/10	at Corning East (18-5)	NY C Sec 4	99.0	1	L	4-	15		0.000
4/12	CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (15-4)	NY A Sec 3	96.4		L	13-	17		-0.075
4/15	UNION-ENDICOTT (4-15)	NY A Sec 4	83.4		W	11-	7		0.175
4/18	VESTAL (16-4)	NY A Sec 4	98.4	2	L	4-	10		-0.100
4/22	at Binghamton (7-13)	NY A Sec 4	87.3	8	W	8-	4		0.275
4/29	at Ithaca (14-6)	NY A Sec 4	95.9	4	L	4-	10		-0.075
5/02	at Corning West (10-10)	NY B Sec 4	90.0	5	W	9-	6		0.350
5/08	CORNING EAST (18-5)	NY C Sec 4	99.0	1	L	2-	16		-0.025
5/13	at Union-Endicott (4-15)	NY A Sec 4	83.4		L	10-	11		-0.275
5/16	at Vestal (16-4)	NY A Sec 4	98.4	2	L	5-	9		-0.050
5/20	BINGHAMTON (7-13)	NY A Sec 4	87.3	8	L	7-	9		-0.275
5/22	ITHACA (14-6)	NY A Sec 4	95.9	4	L	1-	13		-0.125
6/03	at Ithaca (14-6)	NY A Sec 4	95.9	4	L	5-	18		-0.075
# Neutral site			91.4						0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	N	Chenango Forks	8-	11	-3	-4		0.00	0.97
3/29	N	Lowville	12-	8	4	2		0.00		1.61
4/01	H	Chenango Valley	8-	3	5	2	+	-1.08	3.15
4/03	H	Whitney Point	15-	3	12	13		-1.08	-1.38
4/05	H	Corning West	9-	8	1	-2	+	-1.08	2.76
4/08	H	Elmira-Notre Dame	11-	10	1	2		-1.08	-1.46
4/10	A	Corning East	4-	15	-11	-11		1.08	0.05
4/12	H	Cicero-North Syracuse	13-	17	-4	-7	+	-1.08		2.88
4/15	H	Union-Endicott	11-	7	4	3		-1.08	1.16
4/18	H	Vestal	4-	10	-6	-6		-1.08	-0.10
4/22	A	Binghamton	8-	4	4	-1	++	1.08	5.19
4/29	A	Ithaca	4-	10	-6	-7		1.08	1.20
5/02	A	Corning West	9-	6	3	-4	+++	1.08	6.92
5/08	H	Corning East	2-	16	-14	-9	––	-1.08	-5.11
5/13	A	Union-Endicott	10-	11	-1	1		1.08	-1.68
5/16	A	Vestal	5-	9	-4	-8	++	1.08	4.06
5/20	H	Binghamton	7-	9	-2	1	–	-1.08	-2.97
5/22	H	Ithaca	1-	13	-12	-5	–––	-1.08	-6.96
6/03	A	Ithaca	5-	18	-13	-7	––	1.08	-5.80
									0.00	4.48

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Whitney Point	15-	3	1.38
4/10	A	Corning East	4-	15	-0.05
5/08	H	Corning East	2-	16	4.00
5/22	H	Ithaca	1-	13	2.00
6/03	A	Ithaca	5-	18	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.54

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	910
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.50		Natl Power Rank	910
Natl SOS Rating	89.44		Natl SOS Rank	113
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	659
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1699
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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