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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Heritage-Leesburg Pride (14-3)

Region: VA DullesState: VACoach: Jason Burke

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/13at Brentsville (7-7)VA NoWest79.59W15- 5 0.050  
3/25at Loudoun Valley (15-6)VA Cedar88.4W16- 6 0.300  
3/31CULPEPER HS (1-13)VA Cedar76.9W21- 6 0.000  
4/03POTOMAC FALLS (3-11)VA Dulles75.3W12- 6 0.000  
4/07at Loudoun County (5-8)VA Dulles78.6W21- 2 0.025  
4/10at George Mason (14-2)VA Dulles85.35L11-12 -0.300  
4/14at Fairfax (4-8)VA Concord85.9W11- 4 0.250  
4/16STONE BRIDGE (4-10)VA Liberty83.4W19- 6 0.125  
4/17at Park View (0-11)VA Dulles62.7W22- 4 0.000  
4/24DOMINION HS (6-10)VA Dulles81.77W15-11 0.050  
4/30at Broad Run (16-3)VA Dulles89.52W17-14 0.350  
5/01FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (5-10)VA Dulles75.0W20- 4 0.000  
5/06BRIAR WOODS (7-6)VA Dulles79.1W20- 5 0.000  
5/08FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (5-10)VA Dulles75.0W15- 3 0.000  
5/14vs. Dominion HS # (6-10)VA Dulles81.77W9- 6 0.100  
5/16vs. Broad Run # (16-3)VA Dulles89.52L11-16 -0.200  
5/19at Western Albemarle (14-6)VA Jeffsn91.21L10-15 -0.075  
# Neutral site 79.6     0.68  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13ABrentsville15-510   8       +1.51       2.17
3/25ALoudoun Valley16-610   -2       +++1.67       12.50
3/31HCulpeper HS21-615   12       +-1.67       2.73
4/03HPotomac Falls12-66   12       –––-1.51       -6.28
4/07ALoudoun County21-219   9       +++1.51       10.45
4/10AGeorge Mason11-12-1   2       1.51       -3.36
4/14AFairfax11-47   0       +++1.27       6.62
4/16HStone Bridge19-613   5       +++-1.27       7.58
4/17APark View22-418   21       1.51       -3.19
4/24HDominion HS15-114   8       -1.51       -3.69
4/30ABroad Run17-143   -4       +++1.51       6.71
5/01HFreedom-South Riding20-416   15       -1.51       1.13
5/06HBriar Woods20-515   12       +-1.51       3.21
5/08HFreedom-South Riding15-312   15       -1.51       -2.87
5/14NDominion HS9-63   6       0.00       -3.18
5/16NBroad Run11-16-5   -2       0.00       -2.80
5/19AWestern Albemarle10-15-5   -7       1.51       1.71
         0.0029.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13ABrentsville15-50.00
3/25ALoudoun Valley16-60.00
3/31HCulpeper HS21-6-2.73
4/07ALoudoun County21-2-9.00
4/16HStone Bridge19-6-3.00
4/17APark View22-43.19
5/01HFreedom-South Riding20-4-1.13
5/06HBriar Woods20-5-3.21
5/08HFreedom-South Riding15-32.87
10-goal correction: -0.77

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1032
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.54   Natl Power Rank 1032
Natl SOS Rating 67.61   Natl SOS Rank 1717
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.68   Natl Quality Win Rank 478
W-L Pct Rating 0.82   W-L Pct Rank 223
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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