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Hershey Trojans (9-7)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: John Schein

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/26	at Central Dauphin East (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	15-	2		0.000
3/29	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	14-	3		0.175
4/05	LAMPETER-STRASBURG (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	L	5-	9		-0.100
4/07	at Harrisburg Academy (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	18-	6		0.025
4/09	PALMYRA (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		L	3-	5		-0.300
4/16	BISHOP MCDEVITT (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		W	8-	6		0.100
4/19	EPHRATA (8-12)	PA LL04	82.6		W	12-	7		0.175
4/23	CONESTOGA VALLEY (4-15)	PA LL04	82.1		L	10-	11	ot	-0.300
4/26	NORTHERN YORK BLACK (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		W	8-	6		0.250
4/30	CONRAD WEISER (22-5)	PA Berks	86.2		W	7-	5		0.175
5/03	LOWER DAUPHIN (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	11-	9		0.150
5/07	at Chambersburg (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.2	10	L	3-	13		-0.175
5/10	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	L	9-	10	3ot	-0.075
5/13	STATE COLLEGE (7-10)	PA CSNLL	77.0		W	10-	2		0.050
5/15	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	L	4-	9		-0.150
5/21	at Warwick (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	L	8-	17		-0.075
			84.0						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Central Dauphin East	15-	2	13	12		0.28	0.53
3/29	H	Central Dauphin	14-	3	11	3	+++	-0.28	7.87
4/05	H	Lampeter-Strasburg	5-	9	-4	-6	+	-0.28	2.43
4/07	A	Harrisburg Academy	18-	6	12	9	+	0.28	3.34
4/09	H	Palmyra	3-	5	-2	2	––	-0.28	-4.20
4/16	H	Bishop McDevitt	8-	6	2	6	–	-0.28	-3.98
4/19	H	Ephrata	12-	7	5	3	+	-0.28	2.28
4/23	H	Conestoga Valley	10-	11	-1	2	–	-0.28	-3.20
4/26	H	Northern York Black	8-	6	2	0	+	-0.28	2.03
4/30	H	Conrad Weiser	7-	5	2	3		-0.28	-0.80
5/03	H	Lower Dauphin	11-	9	2	4		-0.28	-1.89
5/07	A	Chambersburg	3-	13	-10	-3	–––	0.28	-7.10
5/10	H	Cumberland Valley	9-	10	-1	-7	++	-0.28	5.74
5/13	H	State College	10-	2	8	8		-0.28	-0.33
5/15	A	Carlisle	4-	9	-5	-4		0.28	-0.94
5/21	A	Warwick	8-	17	-9	-7		0.28	-1.78
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	A	Central Dauphin East	15-	2	-0.53
3/29	H	Central Dauphin	14-	3	-1.00
4/07	A	Harrisburg Academy	18-	6	-2.00
5/07	A	Chambersburg	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1409
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.35		Natl Power Rank	1409
Natl SOS Rating	74.89		Natl SOS Rank	972
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1608
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1108
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0

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