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Heathwood Hall Highlanders (13-2)

Region: SC NoEast

State: SC

Coach: Paul Baly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/11	at Camden Mil Academy (5-8)	SC NoEast	74.9		W	15-	2		0.000
3/12	at White Knoll (8-4)	SC NoEast	82.1	8	W	16-	3		0.075
3/17	at Hammond School (2-10)	SC NoEast	68.4		W	18-	6		0.000
3/20	FORT MILL (9-13)	SC NoEast	76.3		W	14-	1		0.000
3/27	at Durham Academy (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9		L	3-	8		-0.200
3/28	at Socastee (6-8)	SC NoEast	75.3		W	19-	8		0.000
4/02	at A.C. Flora (11-4)	SC NoEast	85.0	6	W	12-	5		0.150
4/09	GREENVILLE (16-6)	SC West	88.1	3	W	18-	11		0.200
4/12	at Hilton Head HS (8-6)	SC SoEast	82.0	9	W	9-	4		0.075
4/14	at Ridge View (4-10)	SC NoEast	74.2		W	19-	7		0.000
4/16	WANDO (12-2)	SC SoEast	88.8	2	W	10-	7		0.200
4/18	BLYTHEWOOD (8-6)	SC NoEast	82.3	7	W	16-	7		0.100
4/25	A.C. FLORA (11-4)	SC NoEast	85.0	6	W	13-	6		0.100
5/02	GREENVILLE (16-6)	SC West	88.1	3	L	11-	18		-0.300
5/03	RIVERSIDE (13-4)	SC West	86.9	4	W	11-	10	ot	0.150
			82.6						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	A	Camden Mil Academy	15-	2	13	13		1.01	0.42
3/12	A	White Knoll	16-	3	13	7	++	1.01	5.86
3/17	A	Hammond School	18-	6	12	18	–––	1.01	-6.02
3/20	H	Fort Mill	14-	1	13	13		-1.01	0.06
3/27	A	Durham Academy	3-	8	-5	-2	–	1.28		-2.55
3/28	A	Socastee	19-	8	11	11		1.01	-0.18
4/02	A	A.C. Flora	12-	5	7	4	+	1.01	3.36
4/09	H	Greenville	18-	11	7	2	++	-1.01	5.34
4/12	A	Hilton Head HS	9-	4	5	7		1.01	-1.88
4/14	A	Ridge View	19-	7	12	13		1.01	-0.97
4/16	H	Wando	10-	7	3	2		-1.01	1.43
4/18	H	Blythewood	16-	7	9	6	+	-1.01	2.79
4/25	H	A.C. Flora	13-	6	7	6		-1.01	1.33
5/02	H	Greenville	11-	18	-7	2	–––	-1.01	-8.66
5/03	H	Riverside	11-	10	1	4	–	-1.01	-2.89
									0.00	-2.55

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	A	Camden Mil Academy	15-	2	-0.42
3/12	A	White Knoll	16-	3	-3.00
3/17	A	Hammond School	18-	6	6.02
3/20	H	Fort Mill	14-	1	-0.06
3/28	A	Socastee	19-	8	0.18
4/14	A	Ridge View	19-	7	0.97
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	757
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.75		Natl Power Rank	757
Natl SOS Rating	71.92		Natl SOS Rank	1283
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	570
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	127
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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