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Huntington Blue Devils (8-9)

Conference: Div II

Region: NY B Sec 11

State: NY

Coach: Paul McDermott

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/17	SMITHTOWN EAST (12-7)	NY A Sec 11	97.9		L	5-	7		-0.100
3/26	at West Babylon (6-11)	NY A Sec 11	89.3		W	13-	12	2ot	0.250
3/29	COLD SPRING HARBOR (15-4)	NY C Sec 8	96.4		L	5-	9		-0.175
4/02	at East Hampton (7-9)	NY B Sec 11	90.0		W	8-	6		0.225
4/04	MOUNT SINAI (18-3)	NY C Sec 11	99.3	4	L	4-	20		-0.050
4/08	at Shoreham-Wading River (13-5)	NY B Sec 11	98.5	8	L	6-	16		-0.050
4/10	at Bayport-Blue Point (6-11)	NY C Sec 11	88.7		W	6-	4		0.250
4/16	COMSEWOGUE (15-5)	NY B Sec 11	98.8	5	L	2-	15		-0.050
4/18	ROCKY POINT (21-1)	NY B Sec 11	99.7	3	L	4-	17		-0.025
4/24	SOUTHAMPTON (0-17)	NY C Sec 11	83.3		W	15-	4		0.000
4/30	MCGANN-MERCY (1-14)	NY C Sec 11	85.2		W	15-	4		0.025
5/02	at Babylon (6-12)	NY C Sec 11	91.0		W	5-	2		0.325
5/06	SAYVILLE (12-5)	NY B Sec 11	98.3	10	L	5-	13		-0.125
5/08	at Kings Park (8-10)	NY B Sec 11	94.5		L	5-	9		-0.125
5/10	WESTHAMPTON BEACH (5-11)	NY B Sec 11	88.3		W	14-	10		0.200
5/14	at Hauppauge (10-8)	NY B Sec 11	96.1		L	7-	11		-0.125
5/20	at Eastport/South Manor (9-8)	NY B Sec 11	92.7		W	7-	5		0.300
			88.9						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	H	Smithtown East	5-	7	-2	-6	+	-0.65	3.52
3/26	A	West Babylon	13-	12	1	0		0.65	1.37
3/29	H	Cold Spring Harbor	5-	9	-4	-3		-0.66		-0.79
4/02	A	East Hampton	8-	6	2	1		0.65	1.34
4/04	H	Mount Sinai	4-	20	-16	-8	–––	-0.65	-8.03
4/08	A	Shoreham-Wading River	6-	16	-10	-8	–	0.65	-2.14
4/10	A	Bayport-Blue Point	6-	4	2	0		0.65	1.55
4/16	H	Comsewogue	2-	15	-13	-8	––	-0.65	-5.03
4/18	H	Rocky Point	4-	17	-13	-9	–	-0.65	-3.52
4/24	H	Southampton	15-	4	11	13	–	-0.65	-2.30
4/30	H	McGann-Mercy	15-	4	11	9		-0.65	1.64
5/02	A	Babylon	5-	2	3	-3	++	0.65	5.68
5/06	H	Sayville	5-	13	-8	-5	–	-0.65	-2.89
5/08	A	Kings Park	5-	9	-4	-5		0.65	1.30
5/10	H	Westhampton Beach	14-	10	4	2		-0.65	1.89
5/14	A	Hauppauge	7-	11	-4	-5		0.65	1.41
5/20	A	Eastport/South Manor	7-	5	2	-2	++	0.65	4.24
									0.00	-0.79

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	H	Mount Sinai	4-	20	6.00
4/08	A	Shoreham-Wading River	6-	16	0.00
4/16	H	Comsewogue	2-	15	3.00
4/18	H	Rocky Point	4-	17	3.00
4/24	H	Southampton	15-	4	2.30
4/30	H	McGann-Mercy	15-	4	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.78

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	491
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.50		Natl Power Rank	491
Natl SOS Rating	84.35		Natl SOS Rank	277
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	405
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1479
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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