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Hylton Bulldogs (7-7)

Region: VA Card

State: VA

Coach: Josh Holman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at Osbourn (12-4)	VA Cedar	88.1	6	L	2-	14		0.000
3/24	STONEWALL JACKSON (4-9)	VA Cedar	78.1		W	7-	6	ot	0.275
3/27	at Battlefield (9-6)	VA Cedar	85.1	9	L	8-	17		-0.025
4/02	OSBOURN PARK (13-5)	VA Cedar	89.2	3	L	2-	11		0.000
4/10	PARK VIEW (0-11)	VA Dulles	62.1		W	13-	6		0.000
4/15	at James Monroe (1-7)	VA Battfd	76.2		W	14-	11		0.275
4/17	BRENTSVILLE (7-7)	VA NoWest	79.3		L	5-	16		-0.250
4/24	FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (2-11)	VA Card	72.9		W	16-	0		0.025
4/25	FOREST PARK (15-3)	VA Card	91.4	2	L	1-	16		0.000
4/30	at Woodbridge (7-8)	VA Card	79.0		L	1-	12		-0.150
5/02	POTOMAC-DUMFRIES (1-12)	VA Card	71.8		W	7-	0		0.000
5/05	GAR-FIELD (4-11)	VA Card	74.8		W	7-	5		0.125
5/07	at Potomac-Dumfries (1-12)	VA Card	71.8		W	12-	3		0.100
5/14	vs. Woodbridge # (7-8)	VA Card	79.0		L	3-	4	3ot	-0.200
# Neutral site			78.2						0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Osbourn	2-	14	-12	-12		1.84	0.45
3/24	H	Stonewall Jackson	7-	6	1	-1	+	-1.84	2.40
3/27	A	Battlefield	8-	17	-9	-9		1.84	0.01
4/02	H	Osbourn Park	2-	11	-9	-10		-1.84	1.47
4/10	H	Park View	13-	6	7	17	–––	-1.67		-9.73
4/15	A	James Monroe	14-	11	3	-1	+	1.67		3.77
4/17	H	Brentsville	5-	16	-11	0	–––	-1.67		10.50
4/24	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	16-	0	16	9	+++	-1.84	7.49
4/25	H	Forest Park	1-	16	-15	-12	–	-1.84	-3.41
4/30	A	Woodbridge	1-	12	-11	-4	–––	1.84	-7.16
5/02	H	Potomac-Dumfries	7-	0	7	10	–	-1.84	-2.63
5/05	H	Gar-field	7-	5	2	5	–	-1.84	-2.69
5/07	A	Potomac-Dumfries	12-	3	9	6	+	1.84	3.05
5/14	N	Woodbridge	3-	4	-1	-2		0.00	1.01
									0.00	-16.47

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	A	Osbourn	2-	14	-0.45
4/17	H	Brentsville	5-	16	1.00
4/24	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	16-	0	-6.00
4/25	H	Forest Park	1-	16	3.41
4/30	A	Woodbridge	1-	12	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2114
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.12		Natl Power Rank	2114
Natl SOS Rating	64.36		Natl SOS Rank	2044
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1033
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1408
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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