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Ithaca Little Red (14-6)

Region: NY A Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Frank Welch

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Johnson City (5-13)	NY B Sec 4	77.8		W	14-	0		0.000
3/29	NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (15-6)	NY A Sec 6	96.7		W	7-	5		0.250
4/03	at Elmira-Notre Dame (10-7)	NY C Sec 4	86.5	9	W	13-	4		0.100
4/05	vs. Shenendehowa # (13-7)	NY A Sec 2	93.4		W	8-	4		0.200
4/08	IRONDEQUOIT (17-3)	NY A Sec 5	97.6		L	2-	8		-0.225
4/11	VESTAL (16-4)	NY A Sec 4	98.4	2	W	5-	4		0.250
4/15	at Binghamton (7-13)	NY A Sec 4	87.3	8	W	8-	7		0.125
4/22	CORNING WEST (10-10)	NY B Sec 4	90.0	5	L	7-	8	2ot	-0.350
4/24	at Union-Endicott (4-15)	NY A Sec 4	83.4		W	8-	1		0.075
4/26	DRYDEN (0-14)	NY C Sec 4	71.0		W	21-	2		0.000
4/29	HORSEHEADS (8-11)	NY A Sec 4	88.5	6	W	10-	4		0.075
5/01	CORNING EAST (18-5)	NY C Sec 4	99.0	1	L	6-	8		-0.175
5/06	UNION-ENDICOTT (4-15)	NY A Sec 4	83.4		W	17-	2		0.025
5/09	at Vestal (16-4)	NY A Sec 4	98.4	2	L	6-	15		-0.200
5/13	BINGHAMTON (7-13)	NY A Sec 4	87.3	8	W	9-	7		0.075
5/20	at Corning West (10-10)	NY B Sec 4	90.0	5	W	10-	9		0.200
5/22	at Horseheads (8-11)	NY A Sec 4	88.5	6	W	13-	1		0.125
5/27	at Corning East (18-5)	NY C Sec 4	99.0	1	L	8-	9		-0.125
6/03	HORSEHEADS (8-11)	NY A Sec 4	88.5	6	W	18-	5		0.075
6/06	at Vestal (16-4)	NY A Sec 4	98.4	2	L	7-	12		-0.200
# Neutral site			91.1						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Johnson City	14-	0	14	13		1.08	1.20
3/29	H	Niagara Wheatfield	7-	5	2	0		-0.99		1.87
4/03	A	Elmira-Notre Dame	13-	4	9	6	+	1.08	2.58
4/05	N	Shenendehowa	8-	4	4	2		0.00		1.51
4/08	H	Irondequoit	2-	8	-6	-1	––	-1.28		-5.50
4/11	H	Vestal	5-	4	1	0		-1.08	0.78
4/15	A	Binghamton	8-	7	1	5	–	1.08	-3.94
4/22	H	Corning West	7-	8	-1	4	––	-1.08	-5.36
4/24	A	Union-Endicott	8-	1	7	7		1.08	0.20
4/26	H	Dryden	21-	2	19	20		-1.08	-1.31
4/29	H	Horseheads	10-	4	6	7		-1.08	-1.20
5/01	H	Corning East	6-	8	-2	-3		-1.08	0.77
5/06	H	Union-Endicott	17-	2	15	9	+++	-1.08	6.04
5/09	A	Vestal	6-	15	-9	-2	–––	1.08	-7.06
5/13	H	Binghamton	9-	7	2	7	––	-1.08	-5.10
5/20	A	Corning West	10-	9	1	2		1.08	-1.21
5/22	A	Horseheads	13-	1	12	5	+++	1.08	6.96
5/27	A	Corning East	8-	9	-1	-5	+	1.08	3.93
6/03	H	Horseheads	18-	5	13	7	++	-1.08	5.80
6/06	A	Vestal	7-	12	-5	-2	–	1.08	-3.06
									0.00	-2.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Johnson City	14-	0	-1.20
4/26	H	Dryden	21-	2	1.31
5/06	H	Union-Endicott	17-	2	-5.00
5/22	A	Horseheads	13-	1	-2.00
6/03	H	Horseheads	18-	5	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	196
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.86		Natl Power Rank	196
Natl SOS Rating	89.52		Natl SOS Rank	111
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	847
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	595
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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