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Jefferson Twp Falcons (18-4)

Conference: Rizk

Region: NJ Grp-II

State: NJ

Coach: Harry Shortway

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Pope John XXIII (7-10)	NJ Grp-B	88.8		W	8-	2		0.075
4/05	at Lawrence (3-11)	NJ Grp-II	74.8		W	15-	2		0.000
4/08	KINNELON (11-8)	NJ Grp-I	97.5		L	8-	10		-0.225
4/10	WARWICK VALLEY (10-9)	NY A Sec 9	79.9		W	12-	1		0.000
4/12	at Montville (12-8)	NJ Grp-II	92.8		W	10-	3		0.150
4/15	SPARTA (13-5)	NJ Grp-II	96.2		W	6-	3		0.150
4/17	FAIR LAWN (16-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.1		W	15-	9		0.125
4/21	at Glen Ridge (9-8)	NJ Grp-I	96.3		L	7-	8		-0.250
4/23	at Glen Rock (13-6)	NJ Grp-I	93.5		W	8-	4		0.150
4/26	CLIFTON (6-9)	NJ Grp-IV	84.4		W	14-	1		0.000
4/28	NEW PROVIDENCE (2-14)	NJ Grp-I	75.1		W	16-	2		0.000
4/30	BLAIR ACADEMY (2-16)	NJ Private	78.5		W	14-	0		0.000
5/02	at Montclair Kim Acad (9-10)	NJ Grp-B	90.4		W	10-	3		0.100
5/06	MORRISTOWN BEARD (13-7)	NJ Grp-B	97.7		L	7-	11		-0.250
5/07	BOONTON (5-12)	NJ Grp-I	86.6		W	8-	3		0.000
5/09	at Millburn (8-11)	NJ Grp-II	86.8		W	15-	1		0.025
5/12	at Nutley (7-11)	NJ Grp-II	87.4		W	13-	3		0.075
5/14	BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (10-13)	NJ Grp-IV	96.9		W	7-	4		0.225
5/17	ST JOSEPH MONTVALE (4-15)	NJ Grp-B	78.9		W	17-	0		0.000
5/21	MONTVILLE (12-8)	NJ Grp-II	92.8		W	14-	2		0.075
5/24	RED BANK REGIONAL (14-3)	NJ Grp-II	96.6		W	18-	11		0.150
5/27	at West Morris Central (17-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.9	9	L	8-	17		-0.125
			81.8						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Pope John XXIII	8-	2	6	7		1.37	-0.80
4/05	A	Lawrence	15-	2	13	15	–	1.37	-2.39
4/08	H	Kinnelon	8-	10	-2	-1		-1.37	-0.59
4/10	H	Warwick Valley	12-	1	11	19	–––	-1.13		-7.64
4/12	A	Montville	10-	3	7	4	+	1.37	2.87
4/15	H	Sparta	6-	3	3	4		-1.37	-1.30
4/17	H	Fair Lawn	15-	9	6	5		-1.37	0.51
4/21	A	Glen Ridge	7-	8	-1	0		1.37	-1.13
4/23	A	Glen Rock	8-	4	4	4		1.37	0.02
4/26	H	Clifton	14-	1	13	13		-1.37	0.19
4/28	H	New Providence	16-	2	14	18	–	-1.37	-3.60
4/30	H	Blair Academy	14-	0	14	15		-1.37	-1.16
5/02	A	Montclair Kim Acad	10-	3	7	6		1.37	1.09
5/06	H	Morristown Beard	7-	11	-4	0	––	-1.37	-4.37
5/07	H	Boonton	8-	3	5	10	––	-1.37	-4.82
5/09	A	Millburn	15-	1	14	9	++	1.37	5.38
5/12	A	Nutley	13-	3	10	7	+	1.37	2.56
5/14	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	7-	4	3	1		-1.37	1.88
5/17	H	St Joseph Montvale	17-	0	17	15		-1.37	1.54
5/21	H	Montville	14-	2	12	7	++	-1.37	5.13
5/24	H	Red Bank Regional	18-	11	7	4	+	-1.37	3.40
5/27	A	West Morris Central	8-	17	-9	-5	––	1.37	-4.39
									0.00	-7.64

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Lawrence	15-	2	2.39
4/10	H	Warwick Valley	12-	1	7.64
4/26	H	Clifton	14-	1	-0.19
4/28	H	New Providence	16-	2	3.60
4/30	H	Blair Academy	14-	0	1.16
5/09	A	Millburn	15-	1	-4.00
5/12	A	Nutley	13-	3	0.00
5/17	H	St Joseph Montvale	17-	0	-1.54
5/21	H	Montville	14-	2	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	106
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.38		Natl Power Rank	101
Natl SOS Rating	70.38		Natl SOS Rank	1436
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	663
W-L Pct Rating	0.82		W-L Pct Rank	236
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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