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Jefferson Twp Falcons (18-4)

Conference: RizkRegion: NJ Grp-IIState: NJCoach: Harry Shortway

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02at Pope John XXIII (7-10)NJ Grp-B88.8W8- 2 0.075  
4/05at Lawrence (3-11)NJ Grp-II74.8W15- 2 0.000  
4/08KINNELON (11-8)NJ Grp-I97.5L8-10 -0.225  
4/10WARWICK VALLEY (10-9)NY A Sec 979.9W12- 1 0.000  
4/12at Montville (12-8)NJ Grp-II92.8W10- 3 0.150  
4/15SPARTA (13-5)NJ Grp-II96.2W6- 3 0.150  
4/17FAIR LAWN (16-6)NJ Grp-III95.1W15- 9 0.125  
4/21at Glen Ridge (9-8)NJ Grp-I96.3L7- 8 -0.250  
4/23at Glen Rock (13-6)NJ Grp-I93.5W8- 4 0.150  
4/26CLIFTON (6-9)NJ Grp-IV84.4W14- 1 0.000  
4/28NEW PROVIDENCE (2-14)NJ Grp-I75.1W16- 2 0.000  
4/30BLAIR ACADEMY (2-16)NJ Private78.5W14- 0 0.000  
5/02at Montclair Kim Acad (9-10)NJ Grp-B90.4W10- 3 0.100  
5/06MORRISTOWN BEARD (13-7)NJ Grp-B97.7L7-11 -0.250  
5/07BOONTON (5-12)NJ Grp-I86.6W8- 3 0.000  
5/09at Millburn (8-11)NJ Grp-II86.8W15- 1 0.025  
5/12at Nutley (7-11)NJ Grp-II87.4W13- 3 0.075  
5/14BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (10-13)NJ Grp-IV96.9W7- 4 0.225  
5/17ST JOSEPH MONTVALE (4-15)NJ Grp-B78.9W17- 0 0.000  
5/21MONTVILLE (12-8)NJ Grp-II92.8W14- 2 0.075  
5/24RED BANK REGIONAL (14-3)NJ Grp-II96.6W18-11 0.150  
5/27at West Morris Central (17-4)NJ Grp-II97.99L8-17 -0.125  
 81.8     0.45  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02APope John XXIII8-26   7       1.37       -0.80
4/05ALawrence15-213   15       –1.37       -2.39
4/08HKinnelon8-10-2   -1       -1.37       -0.59
4/10HWarwick Valley12-111   19       –––-1.13       -7.64
4/12AMontville10-37   4       +1.37       2.87
4/15HSparta6-33   4       -1.37       -1.30
4/17HFair Lawn15-96   5       -1.37       0.51
4/21AGlen Ridge7-8-1   0       1.37       -1.13
4/23AGlen Rock8-44   4       1.37       0.02
4/26HClifton14-113   13       -1.37       0.19
4/28HNew Providence16-214   18       –-1.37       -3.60
4/30HBlair Academy14-014   15       -1.37       -1.16
5/02AMontclair Kim Acad10-37   6       1.37       1.09
5/06HMorristown Beard7-11-4   0       ––-1.37       -4.37
5/07HBoonton8-35   10       ––-1.37       -4.82
5/09AMillburn15-114   9       ++1.37       5.38
5/12ANutley13-310   7       +1.37       2.56
5/14HBridgewater-Raritan7-43   1       -1.37       1.88
5/17HSt Joseph Montvale17-017   15       -1.37       1.54
5/21HMontville14-212   7       ++-1.37       5.13
5/24HRed Bank Regional18-117   4       +-1.37       3.40
5/27AWest Morris Central8-17-9   -5       ––1.37       -4.39
         0.00-7.64

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/05ALawrence15-22.39
4/10HWarwick Valley12-17.64
4/26HClifton14-1-0.19
4/28HNew Providence16-23.60
4/30HBlair Academy14-01.16
5/09AMillburn15-1-4.00
5/12ANutley13-30.00
5/17HSt Joseph Montvale17-0-1.54
5/21HMontville14-2-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 106
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 97.38   Natl Power Rank 101
Natl SOS Rating 70.38   Natl SOS Rank 1436
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.45   Natl Quality Win Rank 663
W-L Pct Rating 0.82   W-L Pct Rank 236
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.3



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