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Thos Jefferson Colonials (4-10)

Region: VA LibertyState: VACoach: Alex Gorman

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14at Chantilly (20-0)VA Concord98.61L3-16 0.000  
3/26at McLean (6-6)VA Liberty89.1L5-14 -0.225  
3/28YORKTOWN (8-10)VA Nationl86.5L6-10 -0.325  
3/31at St Albans (16-5)DC IAC95.8L5-18 0.000  
4/01MADISON (10-5)VA Liberty94.24L11-17 -0.075  
4/08at Stone Bridge (4-10)VA Liberty83.4W14- 6 0.175  
4/10SOUTH LAKES (6-7)VA Liberty87.7W7- 6 0.225  
4/17WOODSON (9-7)VA Liberty93.48L6-12 -0.100  
4/24at Marshall (0-12)VA Liberty78.1W11- 8 0.100  
4/26at Bishop Ireton (8-13)DC WCAC86.5L6-11 -0.225  
5/02at Langley (12-4)VA Liberty95.42L5-14 0.000  
5/05at South Lakes (6-7)VA Liberty87.7W11- 7 0.275  
5/07vs. Woodson # (9-7)VA Liberty93.48L3- 9 -0.075  
5/13at Annandale (15-4)VA Patriot93.47L8-11 -0.100  
# Neutral site 88.8     -0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14AChantilly3-16-13   -14       1.02       0.89
3/26AMcLean5-14-9   -1       –––1.02       -7.74
3/28HYorktown6-10-4   3       –––-1.02       -6.69
3/31ASt Albans5-18-13   -10       1.24       -2.93
4/01HMadison11-17-6   -7       -1.02       1.43
4/08AStone Bridge14-68   3       ++1.02       4.94
4/10HSouth Lakes7-61   1       -1.02       -0.02
4/17HWoodson6-12-6   -6       -1.02       0.10
4/24AMarshall11-83   6       1.02       -3.12
4/26ABishop Ireton6-11-5   -1       ––1.38       -4.11
5/02ALangley5-14-9   -10       1.02       1.41
5/05ASouth Lakes11-74   -1       ++1.02       5.03
5/07NWoodson3-9-6   -7       0.00       1.12
5/13AAnnandale8-11-3   -6       +1.02       2.66
         0.00-7.04

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/14AChantilly3-16-0.89
3/31ASt Albans5-183.00
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1126
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.96   Natl Power Rank 1126
Natl SOS Rating 84.09   Natl SOS Rank 290
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 2087
W-L Pct Rating 0.29   W-L Pct Rank 2151
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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