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Jamestown Red Raiders (2-15)

Region: NY A Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Jay Baehr

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	GOWANDA (11-9)	NY C Sec 6	83.8		L	8-	17		-0.100
4/03	LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (1-16)	NY B Sec 6	76.6		W	15-	9		0.250
4/05	SILVER CREEK (2-12)	NY C Sec 6	75.0		W	12-	2		0.175
4/08	at Niagara Wheatfield (15-6)	NY A Sec 6	96.7	3	L	1-	24		0.000
4/09	AKRON (8-11)	NY C Sec 6	81.0		L	6-	13		-0.175
4/29	NORTH TONAWANDA (3-11)	NY A Sec 6	78.7		L	4-	10		-0.250
5/01	ORCHARD PARK (19-3)	NY A Sec 6	98.7	1	L	0-	23		0.000
5/05	at West Seneca West (5-13)	NY A Sec 6	83.7		L	2-	12		0.000
5/07	at Frontier (13-6)	NY A Sec 6	95.7	6	L	3-	15		0.000
5/08	LOCKPORT (7-12)	NY A Sec 6	84.3		L	4-	13		-0.025
5/10	at Silver Creek (2-12)	NY C Sec 6	75.0		L	8-	13		-0.275
5/12	CLARENCE (12-8)	NY A Sec 6	91.6	10	L	4-	15		0.000
5/13	at Lake Shore Central (1-16)	NY B Sec 6	76.6		L	4-	7		-0.200
5/15	at Williamsville North (8-10)	NY A Sec 6	88.4		L	2-	19		0.000
5/17	at Akron (8-11)	NY C Sec 6	81.0		L	7-	15		-0.125
5/19	at Lancaster (8-7)	NY A Sec 6	88.6		L	1-	15		0.000
5/21	SALAMANCA (17-3)	NY C Sec 6	93.2	7	L	6-	21		0.000
			82.3						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Gowanda	8-	17	-9	-6	–	-0.89	-3.03
4/03	H	Lake Shore Central	15-	9	6	0	+++	-0.89	6.25
4/05	H	Silver Creek	12-	2	10	3	+++	-0.89	7.17
4/08	A	Niagara Wheatfield	1-	24	-23	-23		0.89	-0.13
4/09	H	Akron	6-	13	-7	-3	–	-0.89	-3.53
4/29	H	North Tonawanda	4-	10	-6	0	––	-0.89	-5.91
5/01	H	Orchard Park	0-	23	-23	-25		-0.89	1.56
5/05	A	West Seneca West	2-	12	-10	-11		0.89	0.63
5/07	A	Frontier	3-	15	-12	-19	+++	0.89	7.18
5/08	H	Lockport	4-	13	-9	-9		-0.89	0.12
5/10	A	Silver Creek	8-	13	-5	1	–––	0.89	-6.05
5/12	H	Clarence	4-	15	-11	-14	+	-0.89	2.90
5/13	A	Lake Shore Central	4-	7	-3	-2		0.89	-0.97
5/15	A	Williamsville North	2-	19	-17	-14	–	0.89	-3.43
5/17	A	Akron	7-	15	-8	-5	–	0.89	-2.74
5/19	A	Lancaster	1-	15	-14	-14		0.89	-0.34
5/21	H	Salamanca	6-	21	-15	-15		-0.89	0.34
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Silver Creek	12-	2	0.00
4/08	A	Niagara Wheatfield	1-	24	0.13
5/01	H	Orchard Park	0-	23	-1.56
5/05	A	West Seneca West	2-	12	-0.63
5/07	A	Frontier	3-	15	-7.18
5/12	H	Clarence	4-	15	-2.90
5/15	A	Williamsville North	2-	19	3.43
5/19	A	Lancaster	1-	15	0.34
5/21	H	Salamanca	6-	21	-0.34
10-goal correction: -0.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2253
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.19		Natl Power Rank	2253
Natl SOS Rating	72.06		Natl SOS Rank	1271
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	2595
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	2565
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-23.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-12.3


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