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Johnson City Wildcats (5-13)

Region: NY B Sec 4State: NYCoach: Brad Bruce

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/26at Cortland (8-12)NY B Sec 391.4L5-16 0.000  
3/28ITHACA (14-6)NY A Sec 495.94L0-14 0.000  
4/01VESTAL (16-4)NY A Sec 498.42L1-14 0.000  
4/03at Wyoming Seminary (9-7)PA Indep90.0L3-11 0.000  
4/05vs. Chenango Valley # (12-6)NY C Sec 487.97L4-10 -0.075  
4/08DRYDEN (0-14)NY C Sec 471.0W12- 9 0.100  
4/11at Oneonta (1-13)NY C Sec 469.5W10- 1 0.075  
4/19at Seton Catholic Central (12-8)NY B Sec 484.410L5- 7 -0.100  
4/22ELMIRA-NOTRE DAME (10-7)NY C Sec 486.59L3-11 -0.125  
4/25OWEGO FREE ACADEMY (7-10)NY B Sec 479.6L7-14 -0.225  
4/29CHENANGO FORKS (19-2)NY B Sec 496.43L4-19 0.000  
5/06at Whitney Point (1-18)NY C Sec 471.0W8- 2 0.175  
5/09MAINE-ENDWELL (9-11)NY B Sec 480.4L7- 8 -0.250  
5/14at Owego Free Academy (7-10)NY B Sec 479.6W6- 4 0.325  
5/16at Chenango Forks (19-2)NY B Sec 496.43L4-13 0.000  
5/23WHITNEY POINT (1-18)NY C Sec 471.0W5- 2 0.100  
5/28at Maine-Endwell (9-11)NY B Sec 480.4L2- 7 -0.175  
5/31at Seton Catholic Central (12-8)NY B Sec 484.410L8-10 -0.100  
# Neutral site 85.1     -0.28  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26ACortland5-16-11   -15       +1.08       3.64
3/28HIthaca0-14-14   -13       -1.08       -1.20
4/01HVestal1-14-13   -14       -1.08       0.65
4/03AWyoming Seminary3-11-8   -13       ++1.17       5.36
4/05NChenango Valley4-10-6   -7       0.00       0.98
4/08HDryden12-93   6       -1.08       -3.43
4/11AOneonta10-19   7       1.08       1.99
4/19ASeton Catholic Central5-7-2   -6       ++1.08       4.02
4/22HElmira-Notre Dame3-11-8   -5       -1.08       -2.70
4/25HOwego Free Academy7-14-7   -1       ––-1.08       -5.85
4/29HChenango Forks4-19-15   -11       ––-1.08       -4.35
5/06AWhitney Point8-26   3       +1.08       2.53
5/09HMaine-Endwell7-8-1   0       -1.08       -0.65
5/14AOwego Free Academy6-42   -3       ++1.08       5.31
5/16AChenango Forks4-13-9   -13       +1.08       3.81
5/23HWhitney Point5-23   6       -1.08       -2.62
5/28AMaine-Endwell2-7-5   -3       1.08       -2.49
5/31ASeton Catholic Central8-10-2   -6       ++1.08       4.02
         0.009.01

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26ACortland5-16-3.64
3/28HIthaca0-141.20
4/01HVestal1-14-0.65
4/29HChenango Forks4-194.35
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 78.   Natl CCR Rank 2029
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 77.80   Natl Power Rank 2029
Natl SOS Rating 76.87   Natl SOS Rank 783
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.28   Natl Quality Win Rank 1977
W-L Pct Rating 0.28   W-L Pct Rank 2171
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-11   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.3



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