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Kent Denver Sun Devils (12-0)

Region: CO South

State: CO

Coach: Tom Graesser

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (12-5)	CO South	90.7		W	18-	0		0.000
3/10	HERITAGE (6-9)	CO Contl	90.2		W	16-	3		0.000
4/03	at Colorado Academy (11-6)	CO South	89.1		W	18-	2		0.000
4/05	at Arapahoe (13-4)	CO Contl	95.3	4	W	11-	7		0.150
4/11	at Mullen (10-6)	CO Centenn	94.0	7	W	12-	6		0.125
4/12	at Air Academy (8-8)	CO South	86.0		W	17-	2		0.000
4/15	CHERRY CREEK (13-3)	CO Centenn	96.8	2	W	14-	7		0.150
4/18	vs. Denver East # (10-5)	CO South	93.1	8	W	18-	11		0.025
4/21	FAIRVIEW (8-9)	CO Centenn	89.8		W	14-	3		0.000
4/23	FORT COLLINS UNIFIED (11-4)	CO Foothil	95.2	5	W	6-	0		0.075
4/25	SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (19-1)	CA Indep	98.4		W	10-	6		0.200
5/06	FAIRVIEW (8-9)	CO Centenn	89.8		W	15-	4		0.000
5/10	MULLEN (10-6)	CO Centenn	94.0	7		-
# Neutral site			89.7						0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	Cheyenne Mountain	18-	0	18	16	+	-1.60	2.37
3/10	H	Heritage	16-	3	13	14		-1.60	-0.54
4/03	A	Colorado Academy	18-	2	16	13	+	1.60	2.52
4/05	A	Arapahoe	11-	7	4	4		1.60	0.41
4/11	A	Mullen	12-	6	6	5		1.60	1.22
4/12	A	Air Academy	17-	2	15	16		1.60	-0.52
4/15	H	Cherry Creek	14-	7	7	4	+	-1.60	3.42
4/18	N	Denver East	18-	11	7	9		0.00	-1.84
4/21	H	Fairview	14-	3	11	14	–	-1.60	-3.15
4/23	H	Fort Collins Unified	6-	0	6	7		-1.60	-0.76
4/25	H	Saint Ignatius Prep	10-	6	4	2	+	-1.07		2.48
5/06	H	Fairview	15-	4	11	14	–	-1.60	-3.15
									0.00	2.48

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	H	Cheyenne Mountain	18-	0	-2.37
3/10	H	Heritage	16-	3	0.54
4/03	A	Colorado Academy	18-	2	-2.52
4/12	A	Air Academy	17-	2	0.52
4/21	H	Fairview	14-	3	3.15
5/06	H	Fairview	15-	4	3.15
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	99.		Natl CCR Rank	14
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	98.85		Natl Power Rank	14
Natl SOS Rating	87.86		Natl SOS Rank	147
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	280
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	3
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	9.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	9.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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