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Key School Obezags (4-11)

Region: MD B MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Derek Lieske

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at Towson Catholic (14-5)	MD C MIAA	85.4		L	2-	8		-0.075
3/15	LAFAYETTE (13-8)	MO Patrt-1	91.7		W	11-	9		0.500
3/18	at John Carroll (12-3)	MD B MIAA	88.2	2	L	4-	11		0.000
3/20	at Archbishop Curley (15-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9	1	L	4-	14		0.000
4/01	GLENELG COUNTRY (5-12)	MD B MIAA	79.6	7	L	11-	12	ot	-0.275
4/03	PARK SCHOOL (9-3)	MD B MIAA	84.9	3	L	5-	8		-0.200
4/15	at St Vincent Pallotti (6-13)	MD B MIAA	80.2	6	L	10-	14		-0.200
4/18	at Mount Carmel (8-10)	MD C MIAA	81.1		W	16-	6		0.325
4/19	at Sts Peter & Paul (1-13)	MD B MIAA	75.5	9	L	9-	15		-0.300
4/26	STS PETER & PAUL (1-13)	MD B MIAA	75.5	9	W	12-	7		0.125
4/29	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRISTN (7-10)	MD B MIAA	81.7	5	W	7-	6		0.225
4/30	at Glenelg Country (5-12)	MD B MIAA	79.6	7	L	10-	11		-0.200
5/01	ARCHBISHOP CURLEY (15-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9	1	L	8-	14		0.000
5/07	at Chapelgate Christian (10-7)	MD B MIAA	83.4	4	L	3-	13		-0.150
5/08	JOHN CARROLL (12-3)	MD B MIAA	88.2	2	L	9-	10		-0.050
			85.2						-0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Towson Catholic	2-	8	-6	-7		1.00		1.05
3/15	H	Lafayette	11-	9	2	-11	+++	-1.09		13.22
3/18	A	John Carroll	4-	11	-7	-11	+	1.40	3.56
3/20	A	Archbishop Curley	4-	14	-10	-14	+	1.40	3.53
4/01	H	Glenelg Country	11-	12	-1	1		-1.40	-1.83
4/03	H	Park School	5-	8	-3	-2		-1.40	-1.16
4/15	A	St Vincent Pallotti	10-	14	-4	-2	–	1.40	-2.35
4/18	A	Mount Carmel	16-	6	10	-3	+++	1.00		12.76
4/19	A	Sts Peter & Paul	9-	15	-6	2	–––	1.40	-8.10
4/26	H	Sts Peter & Paul	12-	7	5	5		-1.40	0.10
4/29	H	Annapolis Area Christn	7-	6	1	1		-1.40	0.09
4/30	A	Glenelg Country	10-	11	-1	-2		1.40	0.96
5/01	H	Archbishop Curley	8-	14	-6	-11	++	-1.40	4.74
5/07	A	Chapelgate Christian	3-	13	-10	-4	–––	1.40	-6.33
5/08	H	John Carroll	9-	10	-1	-8	+++	-1.40	6.77
									0.00	27.04

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	Archbishop Curley	4-	14	-3.53
4/18	A	Mount Carmel	16-	6	0.00
5/07	A	Chapelgate Christian	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1863
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.34		Natl Power Rank	1863
Natl SOS Rating	77.62		Natl SOS Rank	702
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	2000
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	2191
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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