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Francis Scott Key Eagles (5-9)

Region: MD 32 West

State: MD

Coach: Matt Flanagan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Liberty (6-8)	MD 21 West	88.8		L	5-	6		-0.150
3/27	CENTURY (12-6)	MD 21 West	93.8		L	5-	7		-0.100
4/02	at North Carroll (8-6)	MD 43 North	94.3		L	5-	14		-0.025
4/03	CATOCTIN (3-11)	MD 21 West	78.5		W	17-	8		0.075
4/08	FREDERICK (11-5)	MD 32 West	90.8		L	8-	9		-0.200
4/10	at Middletown (10-5)	MD 32 West	89.4		W	8-	7		0.300
4/15	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-11)	MD 32 West	75.2		W	14-	0		0.000
4/17	SOUTH HAGERSTOWN (1-14)	MD 32 West	71.5		W	16-	1		0.000
4/22	WALKERSVILLE (16-3)	MD 32 West	95.6	9	L	5-	16		-0.025
4/24	at Winters Mill (10-8)	MD 32 West	91.8		L	4-	13		-0.125
4/29	SOUTH CARROLL (11-5)	MD 21 West	94.4		L	4-	16		-0.050
5/02	at Westminster (11-5)	MD 43 North	94.8		L	3-	18		0.000
5/08	SOUTH HAGERSTOWN (1-14)	MD 32 West	71.5		W	15-	1		0.000
5/10	at Frederick (11-5)	MD 32 West	90.8		L	6-	13		-0.150
			82.9						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Liberty	5-	6	-1	-4	+	0.93	2.68
3/27	H	Century	5-	7	-2	-6	+	-0.93	3.68
4/02	A	North Carroll	5-	14	-9	-9		0.93	0.47
4/03	H	Catoctin	17-	8	9	7		-0.93	1.56
4/08	H	Frederick	8-	9	-1	-2		-0.93	1.00
4/10	A	Middletown	8-	7	1	-2	+	0.93	3.14
4/15	H	North Hagerstown	14-	0	14	11	+	-0.93	3.13
4/17	H	South Hagerstown	16-	1	15	14		-0.93	1.28
4/22	H	Walkersville	5-	16	-11	-9	–	-0.93	-2.03
4/24	A	Winters Mill	4-	13	-9	-5	–	0.93	-3.80
4/29	H	South Carroll	4-	16	-12	-8	––	-0.93	-4.16
5/02	A	Westminster	3-	18	-15	-11	––	0.93	-4.12
5/08	H	South Hagerstown	15-	1	14	14		-0.93	0.28
5/10	A	Frederick	6-	13	-7	-4	–	0.93	-3.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	North Hagerstown	14-	0	-3.13
4/17	H	South Hagerstown	16-	1	-1.28
4/22	H	Walkersville	5-	16	1.00
4/29	H	South Carroll	4-	16	2.00
5/02	A	Westminster	3-	18	4.12
5/08	H	South Hagerstown	15-	1	-0.28
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1272
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.56		Natl Power Rank	1272
Natl SOS Rating	72.85		Natl SOS Rank	1170
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2278
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1917
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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