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Kingswood-Oxford Wyvers (12-7)

Region: NE 2 FAA

State: CT

Coach: John Gormley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Millbrook (5-9)	NE 2 West	87.6	6	W	5-	4	2ot	0.275
4/03	HYDE-WOODSTOCK (12-8)	NE SENE	84.6		W	12-	4		0.150
4/05	at Hamden Hall (5-10)	NE 2 FAA	78.0		W	14-	3		0.000
4/09	CANTERBURY (10-5)	NE 2 West	92.3	2	L	2-	13		-0.125
4/12	KENT SCHOOL (7-9)	NE 1 West	91.3		L	4-	9		-0.175
4/16	at Choate (7-8)	NE 1 West	92.2		L	4-	11		-0.150
4/18	GREENS FARMS ACADEMY (8-6)	NE 2 FAA	82.3		W	11-	1		0.050
4/19	at Rye Country Day (8-10)	NE 2 FAA	85.8	8	W	9-	8		0.175
4/21	at St Luke's (10-7)	NE 2 FAA	87.0	7	W	8-	2		0.225
4/23	at Masters Dobbs Ferry (2-11)	NY MLA	73.1		W	16-	3		0.000
4/26	at Westminster School (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.5		L	0-	8		-0.150
4/28	TAFT SCHOOL (4-10)	NE 1 West	90.3		L	6-	10		-0.200
4/30	at Gunnery (6-12)	NE 2 West	85.1	9	W	6-	5		0.200
5/03	BERKSHIRE SCHOOL (6-8)	NE 2 West	91.4	3	L	3-	10		-0.100
5/07	at Suffield Academy (4-9)	NE 2 West	84.3	10	W	9-	3		0.175
5/10	HOPKINS SCHOOL (13-1)	NE 2 FAA	93.2	1	L	7-	13		-0.150
5/12	at King-Low/Heywood Thos (11-8)	NE 2 FAA	84.0		W	16-	10		0.125
5/14	WILBRAHAM & MONSON (4-9)	NE 2 West	80.2		W	15-	9		0.025
5/17	WILLISTON NORTHAMPTON (7-6)	NE 2 West	89.3	4	W	9-	8		0.325
			86.4						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Millbrook	5-	4	1	-1	+	0.01	2.10
4/03	H	Hyde-Woodstock	12-	4	8	4	+	-0.18		3.84
4/05	A	Hamden Hall	14-	3	11	12		0.01	-0.63
4/09	H	Canterbury	2-	13	-11	-5	–––	-0.01	-6.42
4/12	H	Kent School	4-	9	-5	-3	–	-0.16		-2.45
4/16	A	Choate	4-	11	-7	-4	–	0.16		-3.21
4/18	H	Greens Farms Academy	11-	1	10	8	+	-0.01	2.12
4/19	A	Rye Country Day	9-	8	1	3		0.01	-1.92
4/21	A	St Luke's	8-	2	6	1	++	0.01	5.01
4/23	A	Masters Dobbs Ferry	16-	3	13	15		0.90		-1.52
4/26	A	Westminster School	0-	8	-8	-4	–	0.16		-3.89
4/28	H	Taft School	6-	10	-4	-2	–	-0.16		-2.45
4/30	A	Gunnery	6-	5	1	2		0.01	-0.68
5/03	H	Berkshire School	3-	10	-7	-6		-0.01	-1.43
5/07	A	Suffield Academy	9-	3	6	3	+	0.01	2.89
5/10	H	Hopkins School	7-	13	-6	-4	–	-0.01	-2.48
5/12	A	King-Low/Heywood Thos	16-	10	6	5		0.01	1.00
5/14	H	Wilbraham & Monson	15-	9	6	9	–	-0.01	-3.17
5/17	H	Williston Northampton	9-	8	1	-3	+	-0.01	3.60
									0.00	-9.67

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	Hamden Hall	14-	3	0.63
4/09	H	Canterbury	2-	13	1.00
4/18	H	Greens Farms Academy	11-	1	0.00
4/23	A	Masters Dobbs Ferry	16-	3	1.52
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	883
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.54		Natl Power Rank	883
Natl SOS Rating	79.59		Natl SOS Rank	563
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	454
W-L Pct Rating	0.63		W-L Pct Rank	831
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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